Northern Colorado

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

47.0%Northern Colorado

53.0%Portland State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPortland State -2.5

PROJECTED TOTAL155.6

MODEL MONEYLINEPortland State -113

Portland State

20-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Colorado 77

Projected Total155.6

Projected ScorePortland State 79

Team Comparison

Northern ColoradoMetricPortland State

53.7MMH Power Index50.2

116.0Offensive Efficiency109.3

107.6Defensive Efficiency100.2

8.4Net Efficiency9.1

-4.3Strength of Schedule-5.6

10.8Last 10 Net Efficiency0.4

71.1Tempo70.1

56.9%Effective FG%51.7%

15.3%Turnover Rate16.6%

27.9%Offensive Rebound %31.6%

27.8%Free Throw Rate36.8%

6.0Average Margin6.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Colorado HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Colorado holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.7–50.2), offensive efficiency (116.0–109.3), strength of schedule (-4.3–-5.6), recent form (10.8–0.4).

Portland State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (100.2–107.6), net efficiency (9.1–8.4), offensive rebounding (31.6–27.9).

Final

Northern Colorado

72—82

Portland State

Portland State by 10 • 75.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern ColoradoTEAM STATPortland State

29-78FG27-73

37.0%FG%37.0%

8-303PT11-37

27.0%3PT%30.0%

6-13FT17-20

46.0%FT%85.0%

49Rebounds49

21Offensive Rebounds15

15Assists14

11Turnovers10

7Steals8

4Blocks4

15Fouls18

Player Box Score

Northern Colorado

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dejour Reaves	G	38	12-25	3-8	0-0	5	0	2	0	27
Saint Thomas	Forward	44	5-22	3-11	1-3	14	3	2	3	14
Langston Reynolds	G	27	3-3	0-0	2-4	4	1	1	1	8
Jaron Rillie	Guard	41	3-7	0-1	1-3	9	7	1	0	7
Riley Abercrombie	Forward	26	3-7	1-5	0-1	3	3	0	0	7
Brock Wisne	F	25	2-5	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	0	4
Zach Bloch	G	20	1-7	1-5	0-0	2	1	1	0	3
Theo Hughes	Center	4	0-2	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	2

Portland State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bobby Harvey	Guard	39	9-17	6-13	2-2	8	1	0	0	26
KJ Allen	Forward	38	4-13	0-4	7-8	8	2	2	0	15
Ismail Habib	G	34	4-15	4-9	2-2	5	5	2	0	14
Isiah Kirby	Guard	28	3-8	1-4	2-2	5	1	3	0	9
Isaiah Johnson	Forward	15	2-5	0-0	2-2	5	1	0	0	6
Kendall Munson	Forward	26	2-3	0-0	1-2	5	1	0	0	5
Jorell Saterfield	Guard	19	1-5	0-3	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Cole Farrell	G	12	1-4	0-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Hayden Curtiss	Center	11	1-1	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	4	2
Keshaun Saunders	Guard	3	0-2	0-2	1-2	0	1	0	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

75.9Possessions75.9

94.9Offensive Efficiency108.0

108.0Defensive Efficiency94.9

-13.2Net Efficiency13.2

42.3%Effective FG%44.5%

42.8%True Shooting %49.7%

14.8%Turnover Rate12.9%

16.7%Free Throw Rate27.4%

38.5%3-Point Rate50.7%

1.36Assist / Turnover1.40

Game Summary

Portland State won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 75.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.