UAlbany

11-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

8.1%UAlbany

91.9%UMBC

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUMBC -16.0

PROJECTED TOTAL138.5

MODEL MONEYLINEUMBC -1135

UMBC

24-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUAlbany 61

Projected Total138.5

Projected ScoreUMBC 77

Team Comparison

UAlbanyMetricUMBC

41.9MMH Power Index59.1

107.9Offensive Efficiency113.0

108.8Defensive Efficiency99.0

-0.9Net Efficiency14.0

-6.1Strength of Schedule-5.6

0.0Last 10 Net Efficiency24.7

64.3Tempo65.5

52.8%Effective FG%54.3%

18.6%Turnover Rate14.3%

34.3%Offensive Rebound %25.2%

25.0%Free Throw Rate34.1%

-0.6Average Margin9.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UMBC HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUMBC holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.1–41.9), offensive efficiency (113.0–107.9), defensive efficiency (99.0–108.8), net efficiency (14.0–-0.9).

UAlbany COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (34.3–25.2).

Final

UAlbany

75—80

UMBC

UMBC by 5 • 74.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UAlbanyTEAM STATUMBC

27-64FG29-57

42.0%FG%51.0%

9-253PT6-20

36.0%3PT%30.0%

12-15FT16-20

80.0%FT%80.0%

36Rebounds32

12Offensive Rebounds6

12Assists11

15Turnovers15

7Steals9

1Blocks5

19Fouls13

Player Box Score

UAlbany

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sebastian Thomas	Guard	36	11-22	2-8	6-8	4	5	3	0	30
Aaron Reddish	Forward	35	7-12	3-7	4-4	10	1	1	1	21
Ny'Mire Little	Guard	22	3-5	2-3	0-0	5	4	0	0	8
Amar'e Marshall	G	35	2-14	1-2	0-0	4	1	3	0	5
Tyler Bertram	Guard	33	1-4	1-4	2-3	2	0	0	0	5
Muneer Newton	F	16	2-2	0-0	0-0	7	1	0	0	4
Marcus Filien	Forward	22	1-5	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Jack Margoupis	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UMBC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Regimantas Ciunys	F	27	9-11	1-1	3-5	5	0	1	2	22
Marcus Banks Jr.	G	31	7-17	4-11	2-2	5	1	4	0	20
Dion Brown	G	38	5-11	0-1	4-4	6	4	2	0	14
Max Lorca-Lloyd	Center	30	5-5	0-0	3-5	5	2	0	3	13
Franck Emmou	G	23	2-7	0-3	2-2	3	3	0	0	6
Ace Valentine	G	30	1-4	1-2	2-2	3	1	1	0	5
Devan Sapp	Guard	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Alpha Chibambe	Forward	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Marlon Short	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.8Possessions74.8

100.3Offensive Efficiency107.0

107.0Defensive Efficiency100.3

-6.7Net Efficiency6.7

49.2%Effective FG%56.1%

52.7%True Shooting %60.2%

20.2%Turnover Rate19.9%

23.4%Free Throw Rate35.1%

39.1%3-Point Rate35.1%

0.80Assist / Turnover0.73

Game Summary

UMBC won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 74.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.