Arkansas

28-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

90.4%Arkansas

9.6%Mississippi State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas -13.6

PROJECTED TOTAL171.1

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas -942

Mississippi State

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArkansas 92

Projected Total171.1

Projected ScoreMississippi State 79

Team Comparison

ArkansasMetricMississippi State

69.3MMH Power Index44.6

122.2Offensive Efficiency107.4

109.8Defensive Efficiency113.2

12.4Net Efficiency-5.8

8.6Strength of Schedule5.0

3.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-17.5

73.8Tempo72.3

56.4%Effective FG%51.6%

12.2%Turnover Rate16.1%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %29.8%

36.5%Free Throw Rate30.9%

9.2Average Margin-4.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY90.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.3–44.6), offensive efficiency (122.2–107.4), defensive efficiency (109.8–113.2), net efficiency (12.4–-5.8).

Final

Arkansas

67—71

Mississippi State

Mississippi State by 4 • 63.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ArkansasTEAM STATMississippi State

25-55FG24-50

45.0%FG%48.0%

3-173PT4-15

18.0%3PT%27.0%

14-19FT19-32

74.0%FT%59.0%

27Rebounds42

8Offensive Rebounds17

10Assists10

8Turnovers14

4Steals3

6Blocks3

25Fouls20

Player Box Score

Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Makhi Mitchell	Forward	23	8-12	0-1	5-5	9	1	2	2	21
Khalif Battle	Guard	34	7-13	0-4	4-6	2	2	0	0	18
El Ellis	Guard	35	3-6	0-1	2-4	1	4	0	0	8
Davonte Davis	Guard	25	3-6	2-3	0-1	0	0	0	0	8
Tramon Mark	G	27	2-7	1-3	1-1	3	0	1	2	6
Jeremiah Davenport	Guard	26	1-6	0-3	2-2	5	1	0	0	4
Chandler Lawson	Forward	20	1-3	0-0	0-0	6	2	1	1	2
Keyon Menifield Jr.	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Baye Fall	C	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Layden Blocker	G	3	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Mississippi State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josh Hubbard	G	29	6-18	3-10	4-5	3	3	0	0	19
Cameron Matthews	Forward	36	6-7	0-1	5-10	10	3	0	1	17
Shakeel Moore	Guard	32	3-3	1-1	2-2	3	1	1	0	9
Tolu Smith	Forward	22	2-6	0-0	4-7	8	0	0	2	8
Shawn Jones Jr.	G	24	2-3	0-0	3-4	3	2	0	0	7
KeShawn Murphy	F	20	2-7	0-2	0-0	7	1	0	0	4
Dashawn Davis	Guard	19	2-5	0-1	0-1	3	0	2	0	4
Jimmy Bell Jr.	Forward	15	1-1	0-0	1-3	4	0	0	0	3
D.J. Jeffries	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.1Possessions63.1

106.2Offensive Efficiency112.5

112.5Defensive Efficiency106.2

-6.3Net Efficiency6.3

48.2%Effective FG%52.0%

52.3%True Shooting %54.4%

12.5%Turnover Rate22.5%

34.5%Free Throw Rate64.0%

30.9%3-Point Rate30.0%

1.25Assist / Turnover0.71

Game Summary

Mississippi State won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 63.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.