Florida Gulf Coast

16-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

61.0%Florida Gulf Coast

39.0%Stetson

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFlorida Gulf Coast -2.8

PROJECTED TOTAL156.4

MODEL MONEYLINEFlorida Gulf Coast -156

Stetson

12-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFlorida Gulf Coast 80

Projected Total156.4

Projected ScoreStetson 77

Team Comparison

Florida Gulf CoastMetricStetson

48.6MMH Power Index40

110.5Offensive Efficiency107.2

109.2Defensive Efficiency115.9

1.3Net Efficiency-8.7

-1.8Strength of Schedule-1.0

0.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.9

70.0Tempo68.7

52.1%Effective FG%53.8%

15.7%Turnover Rate18.3%

32.3%Offensive Rebound %28.1%

29.9%Free Throw Rate33.6%

0.9Average Margin-6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Florida Gulf Coast HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMFlorida Gulf Coast holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.6–40.0), offensive efficiency (110.5–107.2), defensive efficiency (109.2–115.9), net efficiency (1.3–-8.7).

Stetson COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.0–-1.8), shooting efficiency (53.8–52.1), free throw rate (33.6–29.9).

Final

Florida Gulf Coast

60—61

Stetson

Stetson by 1 • 62.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Florida Gulf CoastTEAM STATStetson

25-55FG24-58

45.0%FG%41.0%

5-173PT5-25

29.0%3PT%20.0%

5-6FT8-12

83.0%FT%67.0%

32Rebounds33

6Offensive Rebounds10

8Assists13

10Turnovers10

8Steals5

3Blocks2

13Fouls8

Player Box Score

Florida Gulf Coast

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Keeshawn Kellman	Forward	28	6-10	0-0	5-6	10	2	0	0	17
Dallion Johnson	Guard	34	4-10	3-7	0-0	4	1	2	0	11
Zach Anderson	Forward	35	5-12	0-2	0-0	4	1	1	1	10
Rahmir Barno	G	25	4-5	1-1	0-0	2	3	2	0	9
Isaiah Thompson	Guard	19	2-4	1-3	0-0	1	1	1	0	5
Cyrus Largie	Guard	20	2-5	0-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	4
Franco Miller Jr.	Guard	16	1-4	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Blaise Vespe	Forward	11	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Dakota Rivers	Forward	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	2	0
Josiah Shackleford	F	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Stetson

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Aubin Gateretse	Center	37	9-10	0-0	5-7	12	0	1	2	23
Stephan Swenson	Guard	37	5-7	0-1	1-3	0	7	4	0	11
Alec Oglesby	G	40	2-11	2-11	2-2	4	1	0	0	8
Jalen Blackmon	Guard	38	3-14	0-5	0-0	3	4	0	0	6
Cyncier Harrison	Guard	15	1-2	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Treyton Thompson	Forward	12	1-6	1-1	0-0	4	0	0	0	3
Alex Doyle	F	6	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Tristan Gross	G	8	1-4	0-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Josh Smith	F	7	1-2	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

62.8Possessions62.8

95.5Offensive Efficiency97.1

97.1Defensive Efficiency95.5

-1.6Net Efficiency1.6

50.0%Effective FG%45.7%

51.9%True Shooting %47.9%

16.2%Turnover Rate15.7%

10.9%Free Throw Rate20.7%

30.9%3-Point Rate43.1%

0.80Assist / Turnover1.30

Game Summary

Stetson won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 62.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.