Samford

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.5%Samford

62.5%Mercer

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMercer -5.5

PROJECTED TOTAL159.7

MODEL MONEYLINEMercer -167

Mercer

19-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSamford 77

Projected Total159.7

Projected ScoreMercer 83

Team Comparison

SamfordMetricMercer

54.1MMH Power Index54.1

113.5Offensive Efficiency116.6

108.3Defensive Efficiency106.5

5.2Net Efficiency10.1

-2.9Strength of Schedule-4.4

14.0Last 10 Net Efficiency1.2

69.5Tempo70.9

54.0%Effective FG%53.8%

13.3%Turnover Rate14.7%

25.3%Offensive Rebound %33.6%

42.5%Free Throw Rate38.9%

3.6Average Margin7.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

EVEN MATCHUP

WIN PROBABILITY62.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

5–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNo clear statistical separation

Final

Samford

84—88

Mercer

Mercer by 4 • 74.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

SamfordTEAM STATMercer

25-58FG34-63

43.0%FG%54.0%

6-203PT4-15

30.0%3PT%27.0%

28-36FT16-26

78.0%FT%62.0%

36Rebounds37

13Offensive Rebounds14

10Assists15

13Turnovers13

6Steals6

2Blocks3

21Fouls29

Player Box Score

Samford

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Achor Achor	F	26	5-7	1-2	9-13	9	1	1	0	20
Rylan Jones	Guard	31	4-10	3-7	8-11	1	1	0	0	19
AJ Staton-McCray	G	27	5-7	1-2	3-3	4	2	0	1	14
Jermaine Marshall	Forward	20	5-12	1-4	0-0	5	0	0	0	11
Nathan Johnson	Forward	19	2-5	0-2	3-4	2	0	0	0	7
Riley Allenspach	F	5	2-3	0-0	1-1	0	0	1	0	5
Garrett Hicks	Guard	16	1-4	0-0	2-2	1	1	1	1	4
Jaden Campbell	Guard	25	0-2	0-1	2-2	5	1	2	0	2
Josh Holloway	G	17	1-4	0-0	0-0	3	2	0	0	2
Dallas Graziani	Guard	12	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	2	1	0	0
Lukas Walls	G	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Mercer

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalyn McCreary	Forward	32	11-16	0-0	5-8	2	1	3	1	27
David Thomas	G	38	7-16	3-7	5-8	2	6	1	0	22
Alex Holt	Forward	19	7-10	0-0	2-3	8	1	0	0	16
Jake Davis	F	36	4-12	0-4	0-0	8	1	0	1	8
Jah Quinones	Guard	20	1-2	0-0	3-5	7	3	0	0	5
Caleb Hunter	Guard	23	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	2	2	0	4
TJ Grant	G	15	1-1	0-0	1-2	2	1	0	0	3
Jalen Cobb	Guard	14	1-4	1-4	0-0	1	0	0	1	3
Anthony Benard	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.8Possessions74.8

112.3Offensive Efficiency117.6

117.6Defensive Efficiency112.3

-5.3Net Efficiency5.3

48.3%Effective FG%57.1%

55.9%True Shooting %58.4%

17.3%Turnover Rate17.5%

62.1%Free Throw Rate41.3%

34.5%3-Point Rate23.8%

0.77Assist / Turnover1.15

Game Summary

Mercer won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 74.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.