New Mexico State

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

26.9%New Mexico State

73.1%Western Kentucky

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWestern Kentucky -6.5

PROJECTED TOTAL153.5

MODEL MONEYLINEWestern Kentucky -272

Western Kentucky

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNew Mexico State 74

Projected Total153.5

Projected ScoreWestern Kentucky 80

Team Comparison

New Mexico StateMetricWestern Kentucky

51.2MMH Power Index55.6

108.9Offensive Efficiency110.6

104.5Defensive Efficiency106.2

4.4Net Efficiency4.4

-0.7Strength of Schedule1.7

-2.0Last 10 Net Efficiency5.2

68.9Tempo71.7

48.6%Effective FG%48.6%

15.2%Turnover Rate14.5%

33.1%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

37.0%Free Throw Rate42.9%

3.1Average Margin3.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Western Kentucky HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY73.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWestern Kentucky holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.6–51.2), offensive efficiency (110.6–108.9), strength of schedule (1.7–-0.7), recent form (5.2–-2.0).

New Mexico State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.5–106.2), net efficiency (4.4–4.4), offensive rebounding (33.1–31.8).

Final

New Mexico State

58—72

Western Kentucky

Western Kentucky by 14 • 64.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

New Mexico StateTEAM STATWestern Kentucky

23-58FG26-56

40.0%FG%46.0%

7-253PT5-19

28.0%3PT%26.0%

5-10FT15-17

50.0%FT%88.0%

29Rebounds41

10Offensive Rebounds11

8Assists14

11Turnovers11

6Steals6

6Blocks—

19Fouls14

Player Box Score

New Mexico State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Femi Odukale	Guard	35	5-12	1-3	2-6	8	3	0	4	13
Jaden Harris	G	27	5-15	3-8	0-0	2	0	0	0	13
Christian Cook	Guard	34	4-9	1-4	0-0	4	2	2	0	9
Jaylin Jackson-Posey	Guard	20	3-5	1-2	0-0	2	0	1	0	7
Jordan Rawls	Guard	35	2-7	1-4	1-2	2	3	0	0	6
Kaosi Ezeagu	Forward	23	2-3	0-0	2-2	5	0	1	1	6
Tanahj Pettway	Point Guard	12	2-7	0-4	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Jonathan Kanyanga	Forward	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	1	0
Yaak Yaak	C	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Keylon Dorsey	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Western Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Teagan Moore	G	16	4-7	1-3	3-3	3	0	0	12
Babacar Faye	F	23	3-5	0-0	5-5	5	0	1	11
Enoch Kalambay	G	20	5-8	1-1	0-0	5	2	0	11
Don McHenry	G	26	4-7	0-1	2-2	1	1	1	10
Rodney Howard	Forward	14	4-6	0-0	2-2	3	1	0	10
Brandon Newman	Guard	24	3-7	2-5	1-2	5	1	0	9
Dontaie Allen	Guard	24	3-9	1-5	2-3	4	1	0	9
Tyrone Marshall Jr.	F	21	0-6	0-3	0-0	5	5	2	0
Khristian Lander	Guard	16	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0
Jack Edelen	G	14	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	3	2	0
BJ Marable	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.0Possessions64.0

90.6Offensive Efficiency112.5

112.5Defensive Efficiency90.6

-21.9Net Efficiency21.9

45.7%Effective FG%50.9%

46.2%True Shooting %56.2%

17.3%Turnover Rate17.2%

17.2%Free Throw Rate30.4%

43.1%3-Point Rate33.9%

0.73Assist / Turnover1.27

Game Summary

Western Kentucky won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 64.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.