Texas State

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

36.2%Texas State

63.8%Southern Miss

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouthern Miss -4.0

PROJECTED TOTAL147.9

MODEL MONEYLINESouthern Miss -176

Southern Miss

19-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTexas State 72

Projected Total147.9

Projected ScoreSouthern Miss 76

Team Comparison

Texas StateMetricSouthern Miss

49.4MMH Power Index49.9

107.7Offensive Efficiency106.1

103.4Defensive Efficiency104.9

4.3Net Efficiency1.2

-4.7Strength of Schedule-0.2

9.1Last 10 Net Efficiency3.8

68.6Tempo70.4

51.3%Effective FG%49.9%

18.4%Turnover Rate18.4%

34.3%Offensive Rebound %32.3%

36.0%Free Throw Rate43.9%

2.9Average Margin0.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Texas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTexas State holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (107.7–106.1), defensive efficiency (103.4–104.9), net efficiency (4.3–1.2), recent form (9.1–3.8).

Southern Miss COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (49.9–49.4), strength of schedule (-0.2–-4.7), free throw rate (43.9–36.0).

Final

Texas State

74—78

Southern Miss

Southern Miss by 4 • 67.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Texas StateTEAM STATSouthern Miss

29-64FG27-53

45.0%FG%51.0%

3-93PT5-11

33.0%3PT%45.0%

13-21FT19-22

62.0%FT%86.0%

33Rebounds34

13Offensive Rebounds8

5Assists10

6Turnovers13

10Steals4

1Blocks5

17Fouls16

Player Box Score

Texas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Mason	G	35	8-20	0-1	2-2	3	2	2	0	18
Coleton Benson	G	25	6-12	3-6	2-2	2	2	3	0	17
Brandon Love	Forward	21	4-9	0-0	2-4	3	0	1	0	10
Chris Nix	Forward	17	5-5	0-0	0-0	6	1	1	0	10
Davion Sykes	G	35	2-7	0-0	5-8	9	0	1	1	9
Dontae Horne	G	23	2-7	0-1	1-2	3	0	0	0	5
Christian Turner	Forward	28	1-1	0-0	1-3	5	0	1	0	3
Joshua O'Garro	G	7	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Elijah Tate	Guard	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Southern Miss

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Andre Curbelo	Guard	28	8-9	1-2	7-9	5	1	1	0	24
Austin Crowley	Guard	40	5-15	3-4	6-6	5	5	2	1	19
Tegra Izay	C	29	4-5	0-0	1-1	6	1	0	3	9
Victor Iwuakor	Forward	11	4-7	1-2	0-0	4	1	0	1	9
Mo Arnold	Guard	35	2-9	0-2	1-2	3	1	0	0	5
Cobie Montgomery	Guard	33	2-4	0-1	0-0	6	0	1	0	4
Bryson Hall	Forward	14	1-3	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	0	4
Jose Benitez	Guard	7	1-1	0-0	2-2	1	1	0	0	4
Jeffery Armstrong	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.8Possessions67.8

109.1Offensive Efficiency115.0

115.0Defensive Efficiency109.1

-5.9Net Efficiency5.9

47.7%Effective FG%55.7%

50.0%True Shooting %61.5%

9.0%Turnover Rate19.0%

32.8%Free Throw Rate41.5%

14.1%3-Point Rate20.8%

0.83Assist / Turnover0.77

Game Summary

Southern Miss won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 67.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, True Shooting %, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.