Cincinnati

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

49.5%Cincinnati

50.5%UCF

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUCF -0.7

PROJECTED TOTAL151.6

MODEL MONEYLINEUCF -102

UCF

21-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCincinnati 75

Projected Total151.6

Projected ScoreUCF 76

Team Comparison

CincinnatiMetricUCF

61.5MMH Power Index57.1

105.3Offensive Efficiency113.3

97.3Defensive Efficiency110.0

8.0Net Efficiency3.3

5.1Strength of Schedule6.6

14.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-3.8

69.4Tempo71.2

50.6%Effective FG%53.0%

17.0%Turnover Rate16.0%

30.6%Offensive Rebound %34.3%

30.7%Free Throw Rate31.1%

5.5Average Margin2.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UCF HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUCF holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (113.3–105.3), strength of schedule (6.6–5.1), shooting efficiency (53.0–50.6), ball security (16.0–17.0).

Cincinnati COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (61.5–57.1), defensive efficiency (97.3–110.0), net efficiency (8.0–3.3).

Final

Cincinnati

76—74

UCF

Cincinnati by 2 • 69.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

CincinnatiTEAM STATUCF

28-67FG28-59

42.0%FG%47.0%

7-263PT4-12

27.0%3PT%33.0%

13-21FT14-18

62.0%FT%78.0%

45Rebounds33

18Offensive Rebounds8

11Assists14

11Turnovers9

6Steals8

3Blocks5

15Fouls17

Player Box Score

Cincinnati

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dan Skillings Jr.	G	32	5-14	1-4	4-8	8	2	1	1	15
Aziz Bandaogo	Forward	26	5-7	0-0	3-5	8	0	0	2	13
Simas Lukosius	Guard	30	4-11	2-8	2-2	3	2	0	0	12
Day Day Thomas	G	25	4-13	1-5	0-0	3	3	4	0	9
Jizzle James	G	14	3-7	0-2	1-2	0	1	0	0	7
John Newman III	Forward	30	2-5	1-3	1-2	5	1	0	0	6
Jamille Reynolds	Forward	14	2-3	0-0	2-2	9	0	0	0	6
CJ Fredrick Jr.	Guard	15	2-4	1-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	5
Josh Reed	F	14	1-3	1-2	0-0	3	1	1	0	3

UCF

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Darius Johnson	Guard	30	6-17	2-5	2-3	4	5	4	0	16
Jaylin Sellers	G	34	6-13	1-4	2-2	4	0	0	0	15
Shemarri Allen	Guard	34	5-9	1-1	4-6	4	7	1	0	15
Ibrahima Diallo	Forward	20	2-5	0-0	4-4	6	0	1	3	8
Omar Payne	Forward	20	3-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	2	6
Marchelus Avery	Forward	13	2-2	0-0	2-3	3	1	1	0	6
C.J. Walker	Forward	21	1-5	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Thierno Sylla	C	9	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Nils Machowski	G	9	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Antwann Jones	G	7	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
DeMarr Langford Jr.	Not Available	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.3Possessions69.3

109.7Offensive Efficiency106.8

106.8Defensive Efficiency109.7

2.9Net Efficiency-2.9

47.0%Effective FG%50.8%

49.4%True Shooting %54.8%

15.7%Turnover Rate13.1%

31.3%Free Throw Rate30.5%

38.8%3-Point Rate20.3%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.56

Game Summary

Cincinnati won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 69.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, True Shooting %, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.