Lafayette

11-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

18.7%Lafayette

81.3%American University

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAmerican University -11.1

PROJECTED TOTAL145.8

MODEL MONEYLINEAmerican University -435

American University

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLafayette 67

Projected Total145.8

Projected ScoreAmerican University 78

Team Comparison

LafayetteMetricAmerican University

39.6MMH Power Index48.2

102.9Offensive Efficiency110.6

110.3Defensive Efficiency105.8

-7.4Net Efficiency4.8

-1.4Strength of Schedule-4.3

-6.4Last 10 Net Efficiency2.2

67.5Tempo67.5

49.4%Effective FG%52.6%

15.4%Turnover Rate15.7%

25.7%Offensive Rebound %28.0%

33.0%Free Throw Rate30.1%

-5.0Average Margin3.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

American University HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAmerican University holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.2–39.6), offensive efficiency (110.6–102.9), defensive efficiency (105.8–110.3), net efficiency (4.8–-7.4).

Lafayette COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.4–-4.3), ball security (15.4–15.7), free throw rate (33.0–30.1).

Final

Lafayette

68—62

American University

Lafayette by 6 • 61.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LafayetteTEAM STATAmerican University

23-47FG21-54

49.0%FG%39.0%

13-273PT7-22

48.0%3PT%32.0%

9-12FT13-16

75.0%FT%81.0%

28Rebounds32

4Offensive Rebounds10

15Assists11

12Turnovers10

5Steals5

4Blocks3

14Fouls17

Player Box Score

Lafayette

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Devin Hines	G	34	6-11	5-7	3-3	3	0	0	0	20
Luka Savicevic	G	15	5-7	4-5	0-0	0	1	0	0	14
Kyle Jenkins	Forward	34	3-5	2-3	2-2	3	3	0	0	10
Justin Vander Baan	C	29	4-9	1-4	0-1	7	4	0	1	9
Eric Sondberg	Guard	20	1-7	1-5	3-4	3	1	0	0	6
Mark Butler	G	34	2-2	0-0	1-2	3	4	2	0	5
Chris Rubayo	F	11	2-2	0-0	0-0	4	1	1	3	4
Ryan Pettit	G	17	0-3	0-2	0-0	3	0	2	0	0
Joshua Wyche	F	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

American University

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Matt Rogers	Forward	30	5-12	1-4	6-7	7	1	1	0	17
Matt Mayock	F	35	6-11	2-5	2-2	2	0	2	1	16
Lincoln Ball	Guard	27	2-5	1-2	5-7	6	4	1	0	10
Greg Jones	F	28	4-8	1-3	0-0	6	1	0	1	9
Elijah Stephens	Guard	22	2-4	0-2	0-0	0	3	1	0	4
Lorenzo Donadio	Guard	29	1-6	1-3	0-0	4	1	0	1	3
Adrian Samuels	G	11	1-3	1-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Chris Gleaton	Guard	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Mason Whittaker	Forward	6	0-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Noah Jones	F	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.2Possessions61.2

111.1Offensive Efficiency101.3

101.3Defensive Efficiency111.1

9.8Net Efficiency-9.8

62.8%Effective FG%45.4%

64.5%True Shooting %50.3%

19.8%Turnover Rate16.2%

25.5%Free Throw Rate29.6%

57.4%3-Point Rate40.7%

1.25Assist / Turnover1.10

Game Summary

Lafayette won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 61.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.