North Dakota State

27-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

64.4%North Dakota State

35.6%Denver

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Dakota State -4.7

PROJECTED TOTAL162.1

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Dakota State -181

Denver

15-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Dakota State 83

Projected Total162.1

Projected ScoreDenver 79

Team Comparison

North Dakota StateMetricDenver

59MMH Power Index49.1

115.4Offensive Efficiency119.2

100.8Defensive Efficiency119.2

14.6Net Efficiency0.0

-4.6Strength of Schedule-2.6

14.3Last 10 Net Efficiency4.0

69.6Tempo69.5

54.5%Effective FG%55.3%

15.5%Turnover Rate14.2%

32.0%Offensive Rebound %30.9%

31.3%Free Throw Rate35.3%

10.1Average Margin0.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Dakota State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Dakota State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.0–49.1), defensive efficiency (100.8–119.2), net efficiency (14.6–0.0), recent form (14.3–4.0).

Denver COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (119.2–115.4), strength of schedule (-2.6–-4.6), shooting efficiency (55.3–54.5).

Final

North Dakota State

71—77

Denver

Denver by 6 • 67.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North Dakota StateTEAM STATDenver

27-59FG27-50

46.0%FG%54.0%

8-233PT6-19

35.0%3PT%32.0%

9-10FT17-23

90.0%FT%74.0%

33Rebounds24

10Offensive Rebounds2

12Assists9

14Turnovers9

5Steals9

3Blocks4

17Fouls13

Player Box Score

North Dakota State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tajavis Miller	G	29	6-9	5-8	4-4	5	2	2	0	21
Jacari White	G	37	5-12	2-7	1-2	8	5	1	0	13
Noah Feddersen	C	23	5-7	0-1	2-2	3	1	1	3	12
Andrew Morgan	Forward	26	5-8	0-0	0-0	7	0	0	0	10
Damari Wheeler-Thomas	G	33	3-7	0-0	2-2	2	3	0	0	8
Boden Skunberg	G	33	2-10	1-4	0-0	4	0	1	0	5
Lance Waddles	G	10	1-5	0-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Darik Dissette	Guard	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Jeremiah Burke	F	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Denver

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tommy Bruner	Guard	33	14-21	3-8	10-14	3	1	1	0	41
Touko Tainamo	Forward	33	4-12	3-7	2-2	6	1	0	0	13
DeAndre Craig Jr.	G	27	4-4	0-0	0-0	2	5	2	0	8
Jaxon Brenchley	Guard	34	2-2	0-0	1-2	4	0	3	0	5
Josh Lee	G	23	1-1	0-0	2-2	2	2	2	0	4
Isaiah Carr	F	12	2-6	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	4	4
Isaiah Addo-Ankrah	Guard	15	0-2	0-2	2-3	0	0	0	0	2
Pedro Lopez-Sanvicente	Forward	15	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	0	1	0	0
Tyson Garff	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Benjamin Bowen	G	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.9Possessions67.9

104.6Offensive Efficiency113.4

113.4Defensive Efficiency104.6

-8.8Net Efficiency8.8

52.5%Effective FG%60.0%

55.7%True Shooting %63.2%

20.7%Turnover Rate13.2%

16.9%Free Throw Rate46.0%

39.0%3-Point Rate38.0%

0.86Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Denver won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 67.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.