Western Illinois

5-26

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

2.2%Western Illinois

97.8%Tennessee State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTennessee State -25.3

PROJECTED TOTAL149.8

MODEL MONEYLINETennessee State -4445

Tennessee State

23-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWestern Illinois 62

Projected Total149.8

Projected ScoreTennessee State 88

Team Comparison

Western IllinoisMetricTennessee State

25.9MMH Power Index55.4

96.2Offensive Efficiency110.9

113.9Defensive Efficiency102.7

-17.7Net Efficiency8.2

-2.4Strength of Schedule-3.1

-26.3Last 10 Net Efficiency13.7

67.5Tempo72.4

45.4%Effective FG%50.9%

17.5%Turnover Rate17.0%

28.1%Offensive Rebound %34.8%

37.5%Free Throw Rate34.7%

-11.9Average Margin5.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Tennessee State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY97.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTennessee State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–25.9), offensive efficiency (110.9–96.2), defensive efficiency (102.7–113.9), net efficiency (8.2–-17.7).

Western Illinois COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.4–-3.1), free throw rate (37.5–34.7).

Final

Western Illinois

68—61

Tennessee State

Western Illinois by 7 • 65.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Western IllinoisTEAM STATTennessee State

22-58FG20-60

38.0%FG%33.0%

6-193PT4-17

32.0%3PT%24.0%

18-26FT17-21

69.0%FT%81.0%

40Rebounds41

16Offensive Rebounds17

11Assists5

11Turnovers12

8Steals6

3Blocks4

15Fouls21

Player Box Score

Western Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ryan Myers	G	36	7-17	4-8	4-6	5	2	1	0	22
Drew Cisse	Center	27	6-9	0-0	2-2	6	1	0	1	14
JJ Kalakon	Guard	33	4-11	1-5	2-4	4	1	1	0	11
Quinlan Bennett	Guard	35	1-9	0-1	6-6	5	1	1	0	8
James Dent Jr.	G	28	1-5	1-5	2-4	4	1	3	0	5
Jesiah West	Forward	25	2-5	0-0	0-0	9	5	2	0	4
Tay Knox	C	16	1-2	0-0	2-4	4	0	0	2	4

Tennessee State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marcus Fitzgerald Jr.	G	32	7-13	0-2	6-8	4	2	0	0	20
Jason Jitoboh	Forward	34	2-4	0-0	9-10	4	1	1	3	13
Jaylen Jones	G	22	3-9	2-3	0-0	4	1	2	1	8
EJ Bellinger	Guard	27	3-12	1-3	0-0	7	0	0	0	7
Kinyon Hodges	Guard	18	2-3	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	0	4
Christian Brown	Guard	32	1-10	0-6	1-2	2	0	2	0	3
Michael Shanks	Forward	9	1-2	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Emmanuel Dowuona	Forward	6	1-1	0-0	1-1	2	1	0	0	3
Denim Dawson	Guard	12	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Justin Williams	Guard	8	0-4	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.2Possessions65.2

104.3Offensive Efficiency93.6

93.6Defensive Efficiency104.3

10.7Net Efficiency-10.7

43.1%Effective FG%36.7%

48.3%True Shooting %43.6%

16.8%Turnover Rate18.5%

44.8%Free Throw Rate35.0%

32.8%3-Point Rate28.3%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.42

Game Summary

Western Illinois won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 65.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.