Northern Colorado

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

66.4%Northern Colorado

33.6%Sacramento State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Colorado -4.6

PROJECTED TOTAL163.6

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Colorado -198

Sacramento State

10-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Colorado 84

Projected Total163.6

Projected ScoreSacramento State 80

Team Comparison

Northern ColoradoMetricSacramento State

53.7MMH Power Index43

116.0Offensive Efficiency106.1

107.6Defensive Efficiency112.0

8.4Net Efficiency-5.9

-4.3Strength of Schedule0.9

10.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.8

71.1Tempo73.2

56.9%Effective FG%48.5%

15.3%Turnover Rate14.2%

27.9%Offensive Rebound %25.1%

27.8%Free Throw Rate41.8%

6.0Average Margin-4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Colorado HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Colorado holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.7–43.0), offensive efficiency (116.0–106.1), defensive efficiency (107.6–112.0), net efficiency (8.4–-5.9).

Sacramento State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.9–-4.3), ball security (14.2–15.3), free throw rate (41.8–27.8).

Final

Northern Colorado

80—75

Sacramento State

Northern Colorado by 5 • 64.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern ColoradoTEAM STATSacramento State

27-46FG30-53

59.0%FG%57.0%

5-113PT11-21

45.0%3PT%52.0%

21-30FT4-9

70.0%FT%44.0%

21Rebounds31

4Offensive Rebounds10

13Assists24

8Turnovers18

9Steals6

3Blocks2

14Fouls18

Player Box Score

Northern Colorado

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dejour Reaves	G	27	7-10	1-1	9-10	2	1	1	0	24
Saint Thomas	Forward	34	7-14	1-3	8-10	9	5	3	0	23
Jaron Rillie	Guard	34	5-8	2-3	0-4	2	3	2	1	12
Brock Wisne	F	33	4-8	0-1	4-6	3	1	0	1	12
Riley Abercrombie	Forward	19	2-3	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	1	4
Zach Bloch	G	33	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	2	3	0	3
Langston Reynolds	G	13	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Theo Hughes	Center	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Sacramento State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Austin Patterson	Guard	31	10-13	7-9	2-2	5	4	0	0	29
Duncan Powell	F	33	9-12	1-4	0-1	8	4	1	0	19
Michael Wilson	G	28	3-5	2-3	0-1	1	6	0	0	8
Jacob Holt	Forward	15	3-3	0-0	2-2	4	0	1	1	8
Akol Mawein	Forward	22	3-6	0-0	0-2	5	4	0	1	6
Alex Kovatchev	G	20	2-3	1-2	0-1	3	2	2	0	5
Zee Hamoda	G	29	0-4	0-1	0-0	2	2	2	0	0
Emil Skytt	G	12	0-5	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Bowyn Beatty	F	10	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	2	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.8Possessions64.8

123.5Offensive Efficiency115.7

115.7Defensive Efficiency123.5

7.7Net Efficiency-7.7

64.1%Effective FG%67.0%

66.4%True Shooting %65.5%

12.5%Turnover Rate27.6%

65.2%Free Throw Rate17.0%

23.9%3-Point Rate39.6%

1.63Assist / Turnover1.33

Game Summary

Northern Colorado won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 64.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.