Arkansas-Pine Bluff

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

39.4%Arkansas-Pine Bluff

60.6%Alabama State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAlabama State -3.8

PROJECTED TOTAL157.4

MODEL MONEYLINEAlabama State -154

Alabama State

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArkansas-Pine Bluff 77

Projected Total157.4

Projected ScoreAlabama State 81

Team Comparison

Arkansas-Pine BluffMetricAlabama State

38.7MMH Power Index38

106.4Offensive Efficiency101.7

111.6Defensive Efficiency107.4

-5.2Net Efficiency-5.7

-6.0Strength of Schedule-6.2

1.3Last 10 Net Efficiency0.0

72.6Tempo71.9

51.4%Effective FG%48.2%

18.5%Turnover Rate18.2%

29.3%Offensive Rebound %32.6%

37.7%Free Throw Rate35.8%

-3.8Average Margin-4.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas-Pine Bluff HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas-Pine Bluff holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (38.7–38.0), offensive efficiency (106.4–101.7), net efficiency (-5.2–-5.7), strength of schedule (-6.0–-6.2).

Alabama State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.4–111.6), ball security (18.2–18.5), offensive rebounding (32.6–29.3).

Final

Arkansas-Pine Bluff

80—74

Alabama State

Arkansas-Pine Bluff by 6 • 74.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Arkansas-Pine BluffTEAM STATAlabama State

25-56FG26-76

45.0%FG%34.0%

13-313PT7-42

42.0%3PT%17.0%

17-26FT15-19

65.0%FT%79.0%

43Rebounds45

8Offensive Rebounds17

7Assists8

12Turnovers8

5Steals5

2Blocks3

16Fouls19

Player Box Score

Arkansas-Pine Bluff

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Rashad Williams	Guard	36	9-22	7-14	8-12	6	1	2	0	33
Kylen Milton	Guard	30	4-9	0-2	3-4	11	3	1	0	11
Joe French	Guard	29	3-8	3-8	1-4	2	0	0	0	10
Trejon Ware	G	23	4-5	1-1	0-0	2	3	2	0	9
Lonnell Martin Jr.	Forward	33	3-8	1-5	0-0	7	0	0	1	7
Robert Lewis	F	24	2-3	1-1	2-2	4	0	0	1	7
Ismael Plet	Forward	21	0-1	0-0	3-4	6	0	0	0	3
Zachary Reinhart	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Alabama State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Micah Octave	G	33	4-11	2-7	1-2	6	1	4	0	11
TJ Madlock	Guard	32	4-13	0-5	3-4	4	1	0	0	11
Ubong Okon	C	29	2-4	0-0	7-9	12	0	0	2	11
CJ Hines	G	27	4-13	0-6	2-2	4	2	0	0	10
Kendal Parker	G	15	4-7	1-4	0-0	4	0	0	0	9
Amarr Knox	G	13	2-6	1-4	2-2	2	1	0	0	7
Isaiah Range	Guard	27	2-15	2-13	0-0	5	1	1	0	6
Sean Smith	G	12	2-4	1-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	5
Darrell Reed	Forward	4	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
JaSteven Walker	F	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.2Possessions74.2

107.8Offensive Efficiency99.7

99.7Defensive Efficiency107.8

8.1Net Efficiency-8.1

56.3%Effective FG%38.8%

58.5%True Shooting %43.5%

16.6%Turnover Rate10.5%

46.4%Free Throw Rate25.0%

55.4%3-Point Rate55.3%

0.58Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Arkansas-Pine Bluff won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 74.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.