Harvard

17-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

39.4%Harvard

60.6%Columbia

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADColumbia -4.3

PROJECTED TOTAL142.7

MODEL MONEYLINEColumbia -154

Columbia

16-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreHarvard 69

Projected Total142.7

Projected ScoreColumbia 73

Team Comparison

HarvardMetricColumbia

52.6MMH Power Index51.9

108.1Offensive Efficiency112.4

102.9Defensive Efficiency105.2

5.2Net Efficiency7.2

-0.1Strength of Schedule-1.7

8.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.4

64.8Tempo68.2

53.4%Effective FG%54.4%

17.2%Turnover Rate19.1%

26.3%Offensive Rebound %37.3%

27.9%Free Throw Rate28.8%

3.4Average Margin5.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Columbia HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMColumbia holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (112.4–108.1), net efficiency (7.2–5.2), shooting efficiency (54.4–53.4), offensive rebounding (37.3–26.3).

Harvard COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (52.6–51.9), defensive efficiency (102.9–105.2), strength of schedule (-0.1–-1.7).

Final

Harvard

80—75

Columbia

Harvard by 5 • 71.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

HarvardTEAM STATColumbia

25-53FG27-66

47.0%FG%41.0%

7-223PT9-27

32.0%3PT%33.0%

23-30FT12-14

77.0%FT%86.0%

34Rebounds35

12Offensive Rebounds15

15Assists20

16Turnovers13

8Steals10

8Blocks4

17Fouls24

Player Box Score

Harvard

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Malik Mack	G	36	6-15	1-5	8-8	4	7	3	0	21
Chisom Okpara	F	35	5-8	2-2	7-8	1	2	0	1	19
Justice Ajogbor	C	33	5-7	0-0	3-5	11	1	1	6	13
Louis Lesmond	G	38	4-12	3-10	0-0	4	1	1	1	11
Chandler Pigge	G	31	3-5	0-1	2-4	7	1	2	0	8
Tyler Simon	F	11	1-3	1-3	2-2	1	1	0	0	5
Denham Wojcik	G	8	1-2	0-1	0-1	0	2	1	0	2
Thomas Batties II	F	7	0-1	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Xavier Nesbitt	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Columbia

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaden Cooper	G	27	9-11	5-7	3-3	5	2	3	0	26
Geronimo Rubio De La Rosa	Guard	33	4-16	0-8	2-2	2	2	1	0	10
Josh Odunowo	F	20	5-6	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	10
Kenny Noland	G	15	3-5	3-4	0-0	1	1	1	1	9
Avery Brown	G	32	2-11	0-3	4-6	1	5	0	1	8
Noah Robledo	Forward	13	1-2	0-1	3-3	5	1	0	0	5
Zavian McLean	Guard	13	1-2	1-2	0-0	3	2	4	1	3
Blair Thompson	F	27	1-7	0-2	0-0	6	2	1	1	2
Zine Eddine Bedri	F	9	1-5	0-0	0-0	4	2	0	0	2
Jake Tavroff	Forward	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	2	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.0Possessions71.0

112.7Offensive Efficiency105.6

105.6Defensive Efficiency112.7

7.0Net Efficiency-7.0

53.8%Effective FG%47.7%

59.5%True Shooting %51.6%

22.5%Turnover Rate18.4%

56.6%Free Throw Rate21.2%

41.5%3-Point Rate40.9%

0.94Assist / Turnover1.54

Game Summary

Harvard won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 71.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.