Northwestern State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

29.4%Northwestern State

70.6%Incarnate Word

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIncarnate Word -6.8

PROJECTED TOTAL141.6

MODEL MONEYLINEIncarnate Word -240

Incarnate Word

12-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthwestern State 67

Projected Total141.6

Projected ScoreIncarnate Word 74

Team Comparison

Northwestern StateMetricIncarnate Word

41.3MMH Power Index44.6

104.0Offensive Efficiency112.0

109.0Defensive Efficiency111.2

-5.0Net Efficiency0.8

-1.6Strength of Schedule-3.6

-4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.5

63.6Tempo66.3

49.5%Effective FG%52.2%

17.6%Turnover Rate16.8%

27.1%Offensive Rebound %34.4%

41.2%Free Throw Rate34.0%

-3.2Average Margin0.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Incarnate Word HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIncarnate Word holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.6–41.3), offensive efficiency (112.0–104.0), net efficiency (0.8–-5.0), shooting efficiency (52.2–49.5).

Northwestern State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (109.0–111.2), strength of schedule (-1.6–-3.6), recent form (-4.9–-8.5).

Final

Northwestern State

81—61

Incarnate Word

Northwestern State by 20 • 67.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northwestern StateTEAM STATIncarnate Word

29-58FG20-48

50.0%FG%42.0%

8-213PT4-17

38.0%3PT%24.0%

15-24FT17-29

63.0%FT%59.0%

29Rebounds36

9Offensive Rebounds14

10Assists7

9Turnovers17

8Steals3

2Blocks4

25Fouls20

Player Box Score

Northwestern State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jae Slack	F	21	6-8	5-7	1-2	4	1	1	0	18
Chase Forte	G	25	5-9	0-0	5-6	7	1	2	0	15
Jimel Lane	F	23	6-10	0-1	2-2	5	1	0	0	14
Cliff Davis	G	33	4-11	2-7	0-1	3	3	1	0	10
Braelon Bush	G	29	4-10	0-3	1-1	1	3	3	0	9
Chris Mubiru	G	21	2-4	1-2	2-4	0	0	0	0	7
Duane Posey	G	17	1-4	0-1	4-6	2	0	0	0	6
Justin Wilson	Forward	20	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	2	2
J.C. Riley Jr.	F	10	0-0	0-0	0-2	2	0	0	0	0
Karlin Hardy	SG	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Incarnate Word

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Alex Anderson	G	32	6-11	0-0	8-10	5	2	0	1	20
Skylar Wicks	G	31	4-11	1-6	0-2	7	0	1	0	9
Dylan Hayman	Forward	29	3-10	1-3	0-0	4	1	0	0	7
Davante Dennis	F	17	1-3	0-0	5-6	5	0	1	0	7
Shon Robinson	Forward	13	3-5	1-2	0-2	4	0	0	1	7
Marcus Glover	F	18	1-1	0-0	3-6	2	1	1	1	5
Josiah Hammons	G	16	1-5	1-5	0-0	1	1	0	1	3
Josh Akpovwa	F	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Josh Morgan	Guard	7	0-0	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Elijah Davis	Guard	26	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	0	0
TJ Ford Jr.	Point Guard	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Gabe Beny Til	Center	2	0-0	0-0	0-1	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.1Possessions67.1

120.7Offensive Efficiency90.9

90.9Defensive Efficiency120.7

29.8Net Efficiency-29.8

56.9%Effective FG%45.8%

58.4%True Shooting %49.4%

13.0%Turnover Rate26.2%

41.4%Free Throw Rate60.4%

36.2%3-Point Rate35.4%

1.11Assist / Turnover0.41

Game Summary

Northwestern State won by 20 points. The game played at approximately 67.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.