Elon

14-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

11.6%Elon

88.4%UNC Wilmington

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUNC Wilmington -13.9

PROJECTED TOTAL152.1

MODEL MONEYLINEUNC Wilmington -762

UNC Wilmington

27-7

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreElon 69

Projected Total152.1

Projected ScoreUNC Wilmington 83

Team Comparison

ElonMetricUNC Wilmington

45.5MMH Power Index59.2

113.0Offensive Efficiency114.1

112.7Defensive Efficiency101.7

0.3Net Efficiency12.4

-1.4Strength of Schedule-1.5

-13.7Last 10 Net Efficiency5.5

69.1Tempo66.9

52.6%Effective FG%51.1%

15.6%Turnover Rate14.8%

33.4%Offensive Rebound %35.8%

34.0%Free Throw Rate41.7%

0.3Average Margin8.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UNC Wilmington HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY88.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUNC Wilmington holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.2–45.5), offensive efficiency (114.1–113.0), defensive efficiency (101.7–112.7), net efficiency (12.4–0.3).

Elon COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.4–-1.5), shooting efficiency (52.6–51.1).

Final

Elon

73—72

UNC Wilmington

Elon by 1 • 63.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ElonTEAM STATUNC Wilmington

28-57FG28-59

49.0%FG%47.0%

9-193PT8-29

47.0%3PT%28.0%

8-11FT8-12

73.0%FT%67.0%

32Rebounds32

11Offensive Rebounds12

14Assists17

12Turnovers10

7Steals9

1Blocks4

12Fouls14

Player Box Score

Elon

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Max Mackinnon	G	34	8-12	3-6	2-2	5	5	1	0	21
Takai Simpkins	G	29	4-14	2-3	4-4	5	3	2	0	14
LA Pratt	G	21	5-6	2-2	1-2	3	0	2	0	13
Sam Sherry	Forward	23	6-11	0-1	0-0	3	2	0	1	12
Nick Dorn	G	29	3-8	2-5	0-0	3	1	0	0	8
Isaac Harrell	F	32	1-2	0-1	1-2	8	2	2	0	3
Kendall Campbell	F	16	1-2	0-0	0-1	1	1	0	0	2
Zac Ervin	Guard	13	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Deandre Smart	Forward	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UNC Wilmington

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Khamari McGriff	F	21	6-8	0-0	2-2	4	0	0	2	14
Maleeck Harden-Hayes	Guard	22	6-13	1-7	0-0	3	0	0	0	13
KJ Jenkins	Guard	34	4-12	4-12	0-0	1	2	2	0	12
Trazarien White	Forward	30	4-6	0-0	4-5	5	0	0	0	12
Shykeim Phillips	Guard	31	4-8	0-0	2-3	4	9	5	0	10
Donovan Newby	Not Available	23	2-7	2-7	0-0	0	5	0	1	6
Noah Ross	G	17	2-4	1-2	0-0	4	1	0	1	5
Nolan Hodge	G	11	0-1	0-1	0-2	2	0	2	0	0
Ahmard Harvey	Forward	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	0	0
Shemar Rathan-Mayes	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.0Possessions63.0

115.9Offensive Efficiency114.3

114.3Defensive Efficiency115.9

1.6Net Efficiency-1.6

57.0%Effective FG%54.2%

58.7%True Shooting %55.6%

19.0%Turnover Rate15.9%

19.3%Free Throw Rate20.3%

33.3%3-Point Rate49.2%

1.17Assist / Turnover1.70

Game Summary

Elon won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 63.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, True Shooting %, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.