Georgia State

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

19.3%Georgia State

80.7%Old Dominion

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADOld Dominion -9.1

PROJECTED TOTAL151.4

MODEL MONEYLINEOld Dominion -418

Old Dominion

12-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGeorgia State 71

Projected Total151.4

Projected ScoreOld Dominion 80

Team Comparison

Georgia StateMetricOld Dominion

38.9MMH Power Index47.2

101.3Offensive Efficiency107.4

107.5Defensive Efficiency109.8

-6.2Net Efficiency-2.4

-1.7Strength of Schedule-0.1

-10.9Last 10 Net Efficiency4.1

69.5Tempo70.9

45.3%Effective FG%50.9%

15.6%Turnover Rate15.4%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %26.1%

37.4%Free Throw Rate35.2%

-4.3Average Margin-1.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Old Dominion HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMOld Dominion holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (47.2–38.9), offensive efficiency (107.4–101.3), net efficiency (-2.4–-6.2), strength of schedule (-0.1–-1.7).

Georgia State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.5–109.8), offensive rebounding (28.2–26.1), free throw rate (37.4–35.2).

Final

Georgia State

68—65

Old Dominion

Georgia State by 3 • 63.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Georgia StateTEAM STATOld Dominion

23-64FG26-57

36.0%FG%46.0%

7-253PT4-22

28.0%3PT%18.0%

15-19FT9-15

79.0%FT%60.0%

40Rebounds36

19Offensive Rebounds12

10Assists8

10Turnovers11

4Steals5

3Blocks8

14Fouls18

Player Box Score

Georgia State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Julian Mackey	G	25	6-13	1-7	3-3	2	1	1	1	16
Toneari Lane	G	36	5-13	5-11	0-0	4	3	0	0	15
Jay'Den Turner	Forward	30	2-10	0-3	5-6	12	0	1	0	9
Dwon Odom	Guard	35	2-9	0-1	4-6	5	5	0	1	8
Leslie Nkereuwem	Forward	31	4-6	0-0	0-1	7	0	0	1	8
Lucas Taylor	Guard	14	2-5	1-2	2-2	2	1	0	0	7
Brenden Tucker	Guard	14	2-6	0-1	1-1	0	0	2	0	5
Ed Nnamoko	F	12	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Malik Ferguson	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Old Dominion

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chaunce Jenkins	Guard	33	6-16	2-7	8-12	3	2	2	1	22
Devin Ceaser	G	17	5-10	0-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	10
Tyrone Williams	Guard	31	4-11	1-5	0-0	6	0	1	2	9
Imo Essien	Guard	30	3-5	0-1	0-0	0	4	1	0	6
Jason Wade	Guard	17	2-3	1-2	1-2	7	1	1	1	6
Bryce Baker	G	27	2-8	0-5	0-0	6	0	0	1	4
R.J. Blakney	Forward	22	2-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	4
Dani Pounds	F	16	1-1	0-0	0-1	4	0	0	2	2
Leeroy Odiahi	F	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	2

Advanced Game Stats

63.6Possessions63.6

106.9Offensive Efficiency102.2

102.2Defensive Efficiency106.9

4.7Net Efficiency-4.7

41.4%Effective FG%49.1%

46.6%True Shooting %50.7%

15.6%Turnover Rate17.4%

29.7%Free Throw Rate26.3%

39.1%3-Point Rate38.6%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.73

Game Summary

Georgia State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 63.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.