Cal State Fullerton

18-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

27.8%Cal State Fullerton

72.2%UC San Diego

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC San Diego -7.8

PROJECTED TOTAL158.5

MODEL MONEYLINEUC San Diego -260

UC San Diego

23-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Fullerton 75

Projected Total158.5

Projected ScoreUC San Diego 83

Team Comparison

Cal State FullertonMetricUC San Diego

49.4MMH Power Index53.4

108.8Offensive Efficiency108.4

107.1Defensive Efficiency100.7

1.7Net Efficiency7.7

-1.2Strength of Schedule-1.3

2.7Last 10 Net Efficiency5.4

76.3Tempo69.8

52.6%Effective FG%53.1%

15.1%Turnover Rate16.4%

25.5%Offensive Rebound %26.9%

39.6%Free Throw Rate33.2%

1.3Average Margin5.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC San Diego HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC San Diego holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.4–49.4), defensive efficiency (100.7–107.1), net efficiency (7.7–1.7), recent form (5.4–2.7).

Cal State Fullerton COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (108.8–108.4), strength of schedule (-1.2–-1.3), ball security (15.1–16.4).

Final

Cal State Fullerton

69—76

UC San Diego

UC San Diego by 7 • 62.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State FullertonTEAM STATUC San Diego

27-56FG28-62

48.0%FG%45.0%

8-223PT8-24

36.0%3PT%33.0%

7-12FT12-15

58.0%FT%80.0%

33Rebounds35

7Offensive Rebounds10

10Assists12

8Turnovers4

3Steals4

1Blocks4

16Fouls14

Player Box Score

Cal State Fullerton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
DJ Brewton	Guard	40	14-24	2-6	0-0	8	6	1	0	30
Donovan Oday	G	14	3-5	0-0	4-4	2	2	1	1	10
Grayson Carper	Guard	26	3-5	3-5	0-0	3	1	0	0	9
John Mikey Square	Not Available	30	2-3	0-0	1-3	5	0	1	0	5
Vincent Lee	Forward	17	2-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Antwan Robinson	Guard	30	1-7	1-5	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Jalen Cooper	F	19	1-3	1-1	0-0	5	1	0	0	3

UC San Diego

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Aniwaniwa Tait-Jones	Guard	31	9-14	1-2	1-2	6	1	1	0	20
Tyler McGhie	Guard	28	5-18	4-11	2-2	4	2	0	0	16
Hayden Gray	Guard	34	6-10	1-3	2-2	5	4	2	0	15
Francis Nwaokorie	Forward	35	3-8	2-6	4-4	5	0	1	3	12
Bryce Pope	Guard	34	4-8	0-1	2-3	4	0	0	0	10
J'Raan Brooks	Forward	25	1-2	0-0	0-0	7	2	0	1	2
Camden McCormick	Guard	9	0-1	0-1	1-2	0	3	0	0	1
Justin DeGraaf	Forward	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.9Possessions62.9

109.7Offensive Efficiency120.8

120.8Defensive Efficiency109.7

-11.1Net Efficiency11.1

55.4%Effective FG%51.6%

55.9%True Shooting %55.0%

12.8%Turnover Rate6.3%

21.4%Free Throw Rate24.2%

39.3%3-Point Rate38.7%

1.25Assist / Turnover3.00

Game Summary

UC San Diego won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 62.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.