Northern Arizona

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

12.0%Northern Arizona

88.0%Portland State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPortland State -14.8

PROJECTED TOTAL148.8

MODEL MONEYLINEPortland State -733

Portland State

20-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Arizona 67

Projected Total148.8

Projected ScorePortland State 82

Team Comparison

Northern ArizonaMetricPortland State

36.9MMH Power Index50.2

107.1Offensive Efficiency109.3

114.8Defensive Efficiency100.2

-7.7Net Efficiency9.1

-1.8Strength of Schedule-5.6

-16.5Last 10 Net Efficiency0.4

66.6Tempo70.1

53.5%Effective FG%51.7%

15.8%Turnover Rate16.6%

24.0%Offensive Rebound %31.6%

33.6%Free Throw Rate36.8%

-5.1Average Margin6.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Portland State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY88.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMPortland State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.2–36.9), offensive efficiency (109.3–107.1), defensive efficiency (100.2–114.8), net efficiency (9.1–-7.7).

Northern Arizona COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.8–-5.6), shooting efficiency (53.5–51.7), ball security (15.8–16.6).

Final

Northern Arizona

68—83

Portland State

Portland State by 15 • 71.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern ArizonaTEAM STATPortland State

28-56FG29-58

50.0%FG%50.0%

4-203PT4-15

20.0%3PT%27.0%

8-15FT21-30

53.0%FT%70.0%

29Rebounds36

6Offensive Rebounds9

17Assists15

15Turnovers8

4Steals12

—Blocks—

18Fouls15

Player Box Score

Northern Arizona

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Trent McLaughlin	Guard	39	6-17	1-8	1-2	5	3	1	14
Jayden Jackson	G	30	6-8	0-1	2-2	5	4	0	14
Carson Basham	Forward	21	5-7	0-0	2-5	5	0	0	12
Liam Lloyd	Guard	38	4-9	1-4	1-2	5	7	0	10
Diego Campisano	F	23	4-8	2-5	0-0	4	0	2	10
Oakland Fort	G	38	3-7	0-2	2-4	1	3	1	8
C.J. Ford	Guard	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Ryan Abelman	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Rockwell Reynolds	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0

Portland State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
KJ Allen	Forward	27	8-12	0-1	11-13	9	2	1	27
Jorell Saterfield	Guard	28	3-6	3-4	1-2	2	0	0	10
Kendall Munson	Forward	22	3-5	0-0	4-6	6	0	1	10
Cole Farrell	G	22	4-7	0-2	2-2	2	5	5	10
Isaiah Johnson	Forward	19	4-8	0-0	2-4	5	1	0	10
Isiah Kirby	Guard	25	3-4	0-0	0-0	1	5	3	6
Ismail Habib	G	23	2-7	1-2	0-0	2	2	0	5
Hayden Curtiss	Center	12	2-2	0-0	1-3	6	0	1	5
Bobby Harvey	Guard	22	0-7	0-6	0-0	2	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.7Possessions71.7

94.8Offensive Efficiency115.8

115.8Defensive Efficiency94.8

-20.9Net Efficiency20.9

53.6%Effective FG%53.4%

53.9%True Shooting %57.4%

20.8%Turnover Rate11.2%

26.8%Free Throw Rate51.7%

35.7%3-Point Rate25.9%

1.13Assist / Turnover1.88

Game Summary

Portland State won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 71.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.