DePaul

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

24.0%DePaul

76.0%Providence

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADProvidence -7.1

PROJECTED TOTAL157.2

MODEL MONEYLINEProvidence -317

Providence

15-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDePaul 75

Projected Total157.2

Projected ScoreProvidence 82

Team Comparison

DePaulMetricProvidence

48.4MMH Power Index54.2

103.7Offensive Efficiency115.0

102.7Defensive Efficiency113.2

1.0Net Efficiency1.8

2.0Strength of Schedule4.0

-6.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.3

67.7Tempo74.2

49.9%Effective FG%55.0%

17.8%Turnover Rate16.7%

29.7%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

36.8%Free Throw Rate37.3%

0.7Average Margin1.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Providence HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMProvidence holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–48.4), offensive efficiency (115.0–103.7), net efficiency (1.8–1.0), strength of schedule (4.0–2.0).

DePaul COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (102.7–113.2).

Final

DePaul

70—81

Providence

Providence by 11 • 65.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DePaulTEAM STATProvidence

25-57FG28-60

44.0%FG%47.0%

5-173PT13-34

29.0%3PT%38.0%

15-23FT12-19

65.0%FT%63.0%

32Rebounds42

9Offensive Rebounds14

9Assists15

8Turnovers8

3Steals6

—Blocks3

19Fouls21

Player Box Score

DePaul

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Jaden Henley	G	31	6-8	1-3	2-2	2	0	1	15
Elijah Fisher	G	25	6-6	1-1	2-2	4	0	1	15
Jalen Terry	Guard	35	3-10	1-4	2-4	8	0	1	9
Da'Sean Nelson	Forward	25	2-9	0-1	5-7	6	2	0	9
Chico Carter Jr.	Guard	26	4-12	0-4	0-1	0	2	0	8
Mac Etienne	Forward	23	1-5	0-0	3-4	6	3	0	5
Keyondre Young	G	6	1-1	1-1	1-2	2	0	0	4
Jeremiah Oden	F	21	1-5	1-3	0-0	3	2	0	3
Churchill Abass	F	8	1-1	0-0	0-1	0	0	0	2

Providence

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Devin Carter	Guard	33	10-14	7-10	4-6	13	3	1	1	31
Josh Oduro	Forward	32	10-12	2-3	5-8	6	2	0	0	27
Jayden Pierre	G	33	3-7	3-6	0-0	4	3	0	0	9
Rafael Castro	F	11	1-1	0-0	3-5	3	0	0	0	5
Rich Barron	F	24	1-5	1-3	0-0	4	1	0	0	3
Ticket Gaines	Guard	26	1-8	0-5	0-0	5	0	3	2	2
Corey Floyd Jr.	G	22	1-7	0-4	0-0	2	3	1	0	2
Garwey Dual	G	19	1-6	0-3	0-0	2	3	1	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

65.0Possessions65.0

107.7Offensive Efficiency124.6

124.6Defensive Efficiency107.7

-16.9Net Efficiency16.9

48.2%Effective FG%57.5%

51.5%True Shooting %58.7%

12.0%Turnover Rate12.7%

40.4%Free Throw Rate31.7%

29.8%3-Point Rate56.7%

1.13Assist / Turnover1.88

Game Summary

Providence won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 65.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.