NC State

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

38.1%NC State

61.9%Clemson

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADClemson -3.9

PROJECTED TOTAL148.9

MODEL MONEYLINEClemson -162

Clemson

24-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNC State 73

Projected Total148.9

Projected ScoreClemson 76

Team Comparison

NC StateMetricClemson

60.1MMH Power Index59.9

118.4Offensive Efficiency112.6

108.6Defensive Efficiency101.4

9.8Net Efficiency11.2

6.4Strength of Schedule4.6

-11.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.7

70.2Tempo63.6

55.1%Effective FG%53.0%

13.1%Turnover Rate14.0%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %27.0%

35.7%Free Throw Rate38.1%

6.9Average Margin7.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

NC State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNC State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–59.9), offensive efficiency (118.4–112.6), strength of schedule (6.4–4.6), shooting efficiency (55.1–53.0).

Clemson COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (101.4–108.6), net efficiency (11.2–9.8), recent form (-4.7–-11.9).

Final

NC State

78—77

Clemson

NC State by 1 • 68.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NC StateTEAM STATClemson

27-55FG27-58

49.0%FG%47.0%

9-203PT9-24

45.0%3PT%38.0%

15-22FT14-17

68.0%FT%82.0%

31Rebounds33

5Offensive Rebounds8

12Assists11

7Turnovers11

8Steals2

5Blocks2

15Fouls15

Player Box Score

NC State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
DJ Horne	Guard	39	10-20	5-11	2-2	4	2	2	0	27
DJ Burns	Forward	25	6-9	0-0	2-2	3	4	0	1	14
Jayden Taylor	Guard	19	4-8	1-3	3-3	3	0	0	1	12
Mohamed Diarra	Forward	34	3-6	3-3	2-4	9	0	3	2	11
Casey Morsell	Guard	33	1-5	0-1	4-8	5	3	2	1	6
Michael O'Connell	Guard	27	2-5	0-1	0-0	5	3	0	0	4
Ben Middlebrooks	Forward	21	1-2	0-1	2-3	1	0	1	0	4
Breon Pass	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Clemson

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Joseph Girard III	Guard	38	7-13	4-7	5-5	3	3	1	0	23
PJ Hall	Center	31	5-11	2-5	6-8	7	1	0	0	18
Chase Hunter	Guard	31	4-11	2-4	0-0	1	2	0	0	10
RJ Godfrey	F	24	4-6	0-1	2-3	6	2	0	0	10
Jack Clark	Forward	33	3-4	1-2	1-1	7	0	1	1	8
Dillon Hunter	G	4	2-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	4
Ian Schieffelin	Forward	25	1-6	0-3	0-0	7	1	0	0	2
Joshua Beadle	G	13	1-4	0-2	0-0	0	2	0	0	2
Chauncey Wiggins	F	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.3Possessions68.3

114.2Offensive Efficiency112.7

112.7Defensive Efficiency114.2

1.5Net Efficiency-1.5

57.3%Effective FG%54.3%

59.6%True Shooting %58.3%

10.4%Turnover Rate15.9%

40.0%Free Throw Rate29.3%

36.4%3-Point Rate41.4%

1.71Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

NC State won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 68.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.