California

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

36.0%California

64.0%Washington

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWashington -4.1

PROJECTED TOTAL153.3

MODEL MONEYLINEWashington -178

Washington

16-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCalifornia 75

Projected Total153.3

Projected ScoreWashington 79

Team Comparison

CaliforniaMetricWashington

56.5MMH Power Index57.1

111.8Offensive Efficiency112.2

104.8Defensive Efficiency107.1

7.0Net Efficiency5.1

2.8Strength of Schedule4.2

1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency0.7

69.9Tempo68.7

52.6%Effective FG%51.4%

14.9%Turnover Rate15.3%

26.6%Offensive Rebound %34.2%

36.8%Free Throw Rate30.9%

4.9Average Margin3.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

California HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCalifornia holds the advantage in defensive efficiency (104.8–107.1), net efficiency (7.0–5.1), recent form (1.8–0.7), shooting efficiency (52.6–51.4).

Washington COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (57.1–56.5), offensive efficiency (112.2–111.8), strength of schedule (4.2–2.8).

Final

California

82—80

Washington

California by 2 • 75.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

CaliforniaTEAM STATWashington

30-66FG31-70

45.0%FG%44.0%

7-263PT9-26

27.0%3PT%35.0%

15-20FT9-16

75.0%FT%56.0%

44Rebounds36

13Offensive Rebounds10

13Assists15

12Turnovers9

6Steals7

3Blocks1

20Fouls15

Player Box Score

California

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaylon Tyson	Forward	36	11-20	2-6	4-5	3	6	0	0	28
Jalen Cone	Guard	35	5-11	2-7	2-2	2	2	1	0	14
Fardaws Aimaq	Forward	29	6-12	0-1	1-2	15	1	0	3	13
Keonte Kennedy	Guard	35	4-11	1-3	3-5	9	0	2	0	12
Jalen Celestine	G	30	2-7	2-6	2-2	3	2	2	0	8
Grant Newell	F	18	2-3	0-1	3-4	5	1	0	0	7
Rodney Brown	G	13	0-2	0-2	0-0	4	1	0	0	0
Gus Larson	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0

Washington

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Keion Brooks Jr.	Forward	34	9-19	4-7	4-6	4	2	0	1	26
Koren Johnson	G	28	7-14	1-4	1-2	4	1	0	0	16
Sahvir Wheeler	Guard	33	6-14	0-1	3-6	7	2	1	0	15
Moses Wood	Forward	30	4-8	3-6	0-0	1	0	1	0	11
Paul Mulcahy	Guard	31	2-6	1-2	1-2	7	5	0	0	6
Braxton Meah	Center	21	2-2	0-0	0-0	6	2	2	0	4
Wilhelm Breidenbach	F	10	1-3	0-2	0-0	1	1	1	0	2
Anthony Holland	Guard	13	0-4	0-4	0-0	1	2	2	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.6Possessions75.6

108.5Offensive Efficiency105.8

105.8Defensive Efficiency108.5

2.6Net Efficiency-2.6

50.8%Effective FG%50.7%

54.3%True Shooting %51.5%

16.1%Turnover Rate11.7%

30.3%Free Throw Rate22.9%

39.4%3-Point Rate37.1%

1.08Assist / Turnover1.67

Game Summary

California won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 75.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.