Colorado

17-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

49.5%Colorado

50.5%USC

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUSC -1.9

PROJECTED TOTAL162.3

MODEL MONEYLINEUSC -102

USC

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreColorado 80

Projected Total162.3

Projected ScoreUSC 82

Team Comparison

ColoradoMetricUSC

52.7MMH Power Index48.3

112.9Offensive Efficiency108.5

112.4Defensive Efficiency107.6

0.5Net Efficiency0.9

5.1Strength of Schedule2.5

-7.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-16.0

71.0Tempo72.4

53.0%Effective FG%50.7%

14.6%Turnover Rate17.2%

29.1%Offensive Rebound %33.2%

37.9%Free Throw Rate45.3%

0.4Average Margin0.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Colorado HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMColorado holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (52.7–48.3), offensive efficiency (112.9–108.5), strength of schedule (5.1–2.5), recent form (-7.7–-16.0).

USC COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.6–112.4), net efficiency (0.9–0.5), offensive rebounding (33.2–29.1).

Final

Colorado

92—89

USC

Colorado by 3 • 80.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ColoradoTEAM STATUSC

31-59FG34-73

53.0%FG%47.0%

9-203PT9-21

45.0%3PT%43.0%

21-29FT12-17

72.0%FT%71.0%

47Rebounds22

15Offensive Rebounds8

15Assists22

21Turnovers9

5Steals11

2Blocks8

15Fouls18

Player Box Score

Colorado

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
KJ Simpson	Guard	48	9-17	6-9	6-8	9	5	0	0	30
Tristan da Silva	Forward	46	6-16	1-6	5-6	8	4	2	0	18
Cody Williams	Forward	41	5-6	0-1	4-6	4	3	1	1	14
J'Vonne Hadley	G	47	5-8	0-0	3-3	10	2	2	0	13
Luke O'Brien	Forward	30	3-4	1-2	2-2	4	1	0	1	9
Julian Hammond III	Guard	14	2-4	1-2	0-0	4	0	0	0	5
Eddie Lampkin Jr.	Center	21	1-4	0-0	1-4	2	0	0	0	3
Assane Diop	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

USC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Boogie Ellis	Guard	47	10-19	5-9	5-6	4	5	1	0	30
Isaiah Collier	Guard	42	9-19	2-5	5-7	1	9	3	2	25
Kobe Johnson	Guard	46	6-13	2-5	0-0	3	1	4	0	14
Joshua Morgan	Forward	22	4-7	0-0	0-0	4	2	1	5	8
DJ Rodman	Forward	37	2-6	0-1	2-3	4	1	2	0	6
Kijani Wright	F	20	1-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Bronny James	Guard	14	1-2	0-0	0-1	1	2	0	0	2
Arrinten Page	F	5	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Vince Iwuchukwu	C	13	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	1	0
Oziyah Sellers	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

80.4Possessions80.4

114.4Offensive Efficiency110.7

110.7Defensive Efficiency114.4

3.7Net Efficiency-3.7

60.2%Effective FG%52.7%

63.2%True Shooting %54.9%

26.7%Turnover Rate11.0%

49.2%Free Throw Rate23.3%

33.9%3-Point Rate28.8%

0.71Assist / Turnover2.44

Game Summary

Colorado won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 80.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.