Murray State

20-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

57.3%Murray State

42.7%Drake

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMurray State -0.8

PROJECTED TOTAL160.2

MODEL MONEYLINEMurray State -134

Drake

14-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMurray State 81

Projected Total160.2

Projected ScoreDrake 80

Team Comparison

Murray StateMetricDrake

53.6MMH Power Index46.4

115.0Offensive Efficiency109.5

111.0Defensive Efficiency109.1

4.0Net Efficiency0.4

3.5Strength of Schedule0.3

-9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.3

72.3Tempo68.6

54.0%Effective FG%52.2%

16.3%Turnover Rate14.9%

32.7%Offensive Rebound %27.2%

39.1%Free Throw Rate34.4%

2.9Average Margin0.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Murray State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMurray State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–46.4), offensive efficiency (115.0–109.5), net efficiency (4.0–0.4), strength of schedule (3.5–0.3).

Drake COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (109.1–111.0), ball security (14.9–16.3).

Final

Murray State

72—95

Drake

Drake by 23 • 65.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Murray StateTEAM STATDrake

26-52FG34-56

50.0%FG%61.0%

5-133PT17-30

38.0%3PT%57.0%

15-22FT10-13

68.0%FT%77.0%

24Rebounds28

7Offensive Rebounds5

7Assists22

11Turnovers8

6Steals6

1Blocks—

17Fouls18

Player Box Score

Murray State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Quincy Anderson	Guard	33	7-11	2-4	6-8	5	0	2	0	22
JaCobi Wood	Guard	37	6-14	2-5	2-3	4	2	0	0	16
Nick Ellington	F	27	6-12	0-0	2-6	7	2	0	0	14
Lawrent Rice	Guard	3	3-3	1-1	1-1	0	0	0	0	8
Justin Morgan	Guard	22	0-1	0-1	4-4	2	0	2	0	4
Malek Abdelgowad	F	13	2-4	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	4
Rob Perry	Guard	29	1-6	0-2	0-0	4	1	0	1	2
Shawn Walker Jr.	Guard	20	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	2	1	0	2
Alden Applewhite	F	13	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Patrick Chew	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Drake

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Kevin Overton	G	28	8-11	5-8	2-2	2	1	2	23
Tucker DeVries	F	32	8-13	4-6	2-2	7	3	1	22
Atin Wright	Guard	23	4-8	4-7	0-0	0	4	0	12
Conor Enright	G	23	4-8	1-4	1-2	1	6	0	10
Nate Ferguson	Forward	22	2-3	0-0	4-4	6	1	1	8
Eric Northweather	Forward	5	3-3	2-2	0-0	0	0	0	8
Darnell Brodie	Forward	14	3-5	0-0	1-2	8	0	1	7
Kyron Gibson	Guard	24	1-3	1-3	0-1	1	3	1	3
Colby Garland	G	16	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	4	0	2
Carlos Rosario	Forward	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Andrew Alia	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Brashon Hall	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.9Possessions65.9

109.3Offensive Efficiency144.2

144.2Defensive Efficiency109.3

-34.9Net Efficiency34.9

54.8%Effective FG%75.9%

57.6%True Shooting %76.4%

16.6%Turnover Rate12.3%

42.3%Free Throw Rate23.2%

25.0%3-Point Rate53.6%

0.64Assist / Turnover2.75

Game Summary

Drake won by 23 points. The game played at approximately 65.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.