Evansville

7-25

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

4.6%Evansville

95.4%Illinois State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois State -21.1

PROJECTED TOTAL143.6

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois State -2074

Illinois State

23-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreEvansville 61

Projected Total143.6

Projected ScoreIllinois State 82

Team Comparison

EvansvilleMetricIllinois State

31.6MMH Power Index54.3

98.5Offensive Efficiency110.6

112.4Defensive Efficiency101.4

-13.9Net Efficiency9.2

1.8Strength of Schedule1.0

-23.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.4

68.0Tempo67.5

50.0%Effective FG%54.3%

18.9%Turnover Rate16.8%

22.2%Offensive Rebound %28.3%

30.8%Free Throw Rate32.0%

-9.5Average Margin6.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY95.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.3–31.6), offensive efficiency (110.6–98.5), defensive efficiency (101.4–112.4), net efficiency (9.2–-13.9).

Evansville COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.8–1.0).

Final

Evansville

79—86

Illinois State

Illinois State by 7 • 64.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

EvansvilleTEAM STATIllinois State

29-58FG29-54

50.0%FG%54.0%

13-283PT13-24

46.0%3PT%54.0%

8-11FT15-18

73.0%FT%83.0%

27Rebounds32

8Offensive Rebounds9

17Assists19

11Turnovers10

4Steals7

1Blocks2

15Fouls11

Player Box Score

Evansville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ben Humrichous	F	27	8-15	5-11	0-1	1	0	0	0	21
Kenny Strawbridge Jr.	Guard	35	3-9	2-5	5-6	4	6	1	0	13
Yacine Toumi	F	24	6-8	0-1	1-2	6	4	2	0	13
Cam Haffner	G	15	4-5	3-4	0-0	1	0	0	1	11
Antonio Thomas	Guard	30	2-6	1-2	2-2	2	0	1	0	7
Joshua Hughes	F	18	2-3	1-1	0-0	5	3	0	0	5
Chuck Bailey III	G	10	2-5	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	4
Gage Bobe	Guard	28	1-4	1-3	0-0	2	2	0	0	3
Tanner Cuff	G	13	1-3	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	2

Illinois State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Malachi Poindexter	Guard	34	7-11	6-10	7-8	2	1	1	0	27
Myles Foster	Forward	37	10-15	0-0	0-0	8	4	2	1	20
Johnny Kinziger	G	37	6-11	4-6	2-2	4	7	2	1	18
Luke Kasubke	Guard	21	3-4	3-4	3-3	1	0	0	0	12
Kendall Lewis	Forward	35	3-9	0-0	1-2	9	2	1	0	7
Dalton Banks	Guard	25	0-2	0-2	2-3	4	5	0	0	2
Jordan Davis	Guard	8	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Chase Walker	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.9Possessions64.9

121.7Offensive Efficiency132.5

132.5Defensive Efficiency121.7

-10.8Net Efficiency10.8

61.2%Effective FG%65.7%

62.5%True Shooting %68.7%

16.6%Turnover Rate15.7%

19.0%Free Throw Rate33.3%

48.3%3-Point Rate44.4%

1.55Assist / Turnover1.90

Game Summary

Illinois State won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 64.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.