Northwestern

15-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

30.6%Northwestern

69.4%Indiana

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIndiana -7.1

PROJECTED TOTAL149.3

MODEL MONEYLINEIndiana -227

Indiana

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthwestern 71

Projected Total149.3

Projected ScoreIndiana 78

Team Comparison

NorthwesternMetricIndiana

55.4MMH Power Index58.2

111.6Offensive Efficiency116.0

109.8Defensive Efficiency107.1

1.8Net Efficiency8.9

5.6Strength of Schedule5.2

-2.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.7

65.6Tempo67.4

51.9%Effective FG%56.0%

13.0%Turnover Rate15.1%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

34.8%Free Throw Rate35.8%

1.2Average Margin6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Indiana HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIndiana holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.2–55.4), offensive efficiency (116.0–111.6), defensive efficiency (107.1–109.8), net efficiency (8.9–1.8).

Northwestern COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.6–5.2), recent form (-2.7–-7.7), ball security (13.0–15.1).

Final

Northwestern

76—72

Indiana

Northwestern by 4 • 67.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NorthwesternTEAM STATIndiana

23-65FG27-53

35.0%FG%51.0%

8-233PT6-18

35.0%3PT%33.0%

22-28FT12-21

79.0%FT%57.0%

38Rebounds37

14Offensive Rebounds6

14Assists19

3Turnovers11

5Steals1

2Blocks5

20Fouls22

Player Box Score

Northwestern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ryan Langborg	Guard	40	7-15	4-7	8-8	1	6	1	0	26
Matthew Nicholson	Center	31	7-9	0-0	0-1	16	1	2	2	14
Boo Buie	Guard	28	3-14	2-6	6-8	2	3	0	0	14
Nick Martinelli	F	38	4-13	1-5	4-5	13	1	0	0	13
Brooks Barnhizer	Guard	24	2-9	1-3	3-4	3	1	0	0	8
Blake Smith	G	13	0-0	0-0	1-2	1	1	1	0	1
Justin Mullins	G	18	0-3	0-1	0-0	0	1	1	0	0
Luke Hunger	F	7	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Blake Preston	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Indiana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kel'el Ware	Center	36	10-14	0-1	2-5	16	1	0	4	22
Mackenzie Mgbako	F	35	6-11	3-6	5-8	4	0	0	1	20
Malik Reneau	F	24	4-9	0-1	1-1	5	2	0	0	9
Gabe Cupps	G	31	3-6	2-3	0-0	2	1	1	0	8
Trey Galloway	Guard	40	2-7	1-3	2-4	3	12	0	0	7
CJ Gunn	G	10	0-1	0-1	2-2	0	1	0	0	2
Anthony Walker	Forward	8	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Payton Sparks	Center	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Anthony Leal	Guard	12	0-2	0-2	0-1	3	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.7Possessions67.7

112.3Offensive Efficiency106.4

106.4Defensive Efficiency112.3

5.9Net Efficiency-5.9

41.5%Effective FG%56.6%

48.5%True Shooting %57.2%

4.5%Turnover Rate16.2%

43.1%Free Throw Rate39.6%

35.4%3-Point Rate34.0%

4.67Assist / Turnover1.73

Game Summary

Northwestern won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 67.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.