Colgate

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

62.6%Colgate

37.4%Lafayette

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADColgate -2.7

PROJECTED TOTAL148.8

MODEL MONEYLINEColgate -167

Lafayette

11-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreColgate 76

Projected Total148.8

Projected ScoreLafayette 73

Team Comparison

ColgateMetricLafayette

48.8MMH Power Index39.6

111.7Offensive Efficiency102.9

109.0Defensive Efficiency110.3

2.7Net Efficiency-7.4

-2.0Strength of Schedule-1.4

-0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.4

68.4Tempo67.5

54.5%Effective FG%49.4%

14.8%Turnover Rate15.4%

26.9%Offensive Rebound %25.7%

30.0%Free Throw Rate33.0%

1.8Average Margin-5.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Colgate HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMColgate holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.8–39.6), offensive efficiency (111.7–102.9), defensive efficiency (109.0–110.3), net efficiency (2.7–-7.4).

Lafayette COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.4–-2.0), free throw rate (33.0–30.0).

Final

Colgate

67—62

Lafayette

Colgate by 5 • 64.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ColgateTEAM STATLafayette

22-44FG19-52

50.0%FG%37.0%

2-93PT8-22

22.0%3PT%36.0%

21-26FT16-23

81.0%FT%70.0%

30Rebounds30

2Offensive Rebounds8

10Assists14

10Turnovers10

4Steals5

1Blocks4

14Fouls19

Player Box Score

Colgate

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Keegan Records	Forward	29	7-11	0-0	7-9	5	0	1	0	21
Ryan Moffatt	Forward	32	2-6	1-3	6-6	5	1	0	0	11
Jalen Cox	G	31	4-5	0-0	1-2	4	0	0	0	9
Sam Thomson	Forward	17	2-4	0-0	3-4	4	0	1	0	7
Brady Cummins	G	23	2-5	0-0	1-1	0	2	0	1	5
Jeff Woodward	Forward	15	2-3	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	5
Braeden Smith	G	33	2-7	0-3	0-0	9	6	1	0	4
Parker Jones	G	12	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	1	0	3
Chandler Baker	Guard	8	0-1	0-1	2-2	1	1	0	0	2

Lafayette

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Justin Vander Baan	C	29	5-13	1-5	4-5	8	1	0	3	15
Devin Hines	G	36	2-8	1-4	7-8	2	1	1	0	12
Kyle Jenkins	Forward	31	4-13	2-6	0-0	7	0	0	0	10
Chris Rubayo	F	11	3-4	0-0	1-1	4	3	0	0	7
Eric Sondberg	Guard	15	2-5	2-5	0-0	3	0	0	1	6
Luka Savicevic	G	19	1-2	1-1	2-3	0	2	0	0	5
Mark Butler	G	34	1-2	0-0	2-6	2	6	0	0	4
Ryan Pettit	G	16	1-3	1-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	3
Joshua Wyche	F	9	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	1	3	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.7Possessions64.7

103.6Offensive Efficiency95.8

95.8Defensive Efficiency103.6

7.7Net Efficiency-7.7

52.3%Effective FG%44.2%

59.4%True Shooting %49.3%

15.5%Turnover Rate15.4%

59.1%Free Throw Rate44.2%

20.5%3-Point Rate42.3%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.40

Game Summary

Colgate won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 64.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.