Mississippi Valley State

3-30

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

5.9%Mississippi Valley State

94.1%Alabama State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAlabama State -19.5

PROJECTED TOTAL150.5

MODEL MONEYLINEAlabama State -1595

Alabama State

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMississippi Valley State 65

Projected Total150.5

Projected ScoreAlabama State 85

Team Comparison

Mississippi Valley StateMetricAlabama State

17.7MMH Power Index38

91.1Offensive Efficiency101.7

117.8Defensive Efficiency107.4

-26.7Net Efficiency-5.7

-4.1Strength of Schedule-6.2

-17.3Last 10 Net Efficiency0.0

70.5Tempo71.9

45.8%Effective FG%48.2%

21.8%Turnover Rate18.2%

26.5%Offensive Rebound %32.6%

34.5%Free Throw Rate35.8%

-18.8Average Margin-4.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Alabama State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY94.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAlabama State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (38.0–17.7), offensive efficiency (101.7–91.1), defensive efficiency (107.4–117.8), net efficiency (-5.7–-26.7).

Mississippi Valley State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-4.1–-6.2).

Final

Mississippi Valley State

46—61

Alabama State

Alabama State by 15 • 64.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Mississippi Valley StateTEAM STATAlabama State

14-51FG21-57

27.0%FG%37.0%

5-173PT4-21

29.0%3PT%19.0%

13-17FT15-23

76.0%FT%65.0%

40Rebounds40

13Offensive Rebounds14

8Assists11

19Turnovers10

7Steals12

6Blocks6

19Fouls17

Player Box Score

Mississippi Valley State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Rayquan Brown	Guard	39	5-14	1-4	5-5	7	1	3	0	16
Arecko Gipson	Guard	27	3-6	0-0	3-6	3	1	1	0	9
Danny Washington	Guard	20	1-3	1-2	3-4	3	1	1	0	6
Reginald Reynolds	Forward	8	2-4	2-3	0-0	2	1	0	1	6
Walter Hamilton	Forward	24	2-8	1-2	0-0	10	1	0	3	5
Donovan Sanders	Guard	27	1-9	0-2	0-0	3	3	1	0	2
Markell Petro	Guard	4	0-1	0-1	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
George Ivory III	G	14	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Ernest Minton	Guard	14	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	1	0
Quorien Waldon	Forward	13	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	0
Jordan Johnson	Guard	10	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Alabama State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
TJ Madlock	Guard	36	7-11	0-1	7-7	5	3	1	0	21
Amarr Knox	G	22	5-10	1-2	4-4	4	1	6	0	15
Ubong Okon	C	21	4-5	0-0	0-0	7	0	1	2	8
Micah Octave	G	29	1-7	0-1	1-2	4	1	1	0	3
Isaiah Range	Guard	20	1-8	1-8	0-1	1	0	1	0	3
Sean Smith	G	18	1-4	1-3	0-0	2	2	1	0	3
JaSteven Walker	F	12	1-4	0-1	1-1	4	1	0	3	3
Kendal Parker	G	10	1-3	1-2	0-2	0	0	0	0	3
CJ Hines	G	20	0-4	0-3	1-4	4	3	1	0	1
Darrell Reed	Forward	12	0-1	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	1	1

Advanced Game Stats

64.5Possessions64.5

71.3Offensive Efficiency94.6

94.6Defensive Efficiency71.3

-23.3Net Efficiency23.3

32.4%Effective FG%40.4%

38.9%True Shooting %44.9%

29.2%Turnover Rate15.6%

33.3%Free Throw Rate40.4%

33.3%3-Point Rate36.8%

0.42Assist / Turnover1.10

Game Summary

Alabama State won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 64.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.