Butler

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

22.2%Butler

77.8%Villanova

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVillanova -9.1

PROJECTED TOTAL155.4

MODEL MONEYLINEVillanova -350

Villanova

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreButler 73

Projected Total155.4

Projected ScoreVillanova 82

Team Comparison

ButlerMetricVillanova

52.7MMH Power Index59.4

111.7Offensive Efficiency114.7

109.1Defensive Efficiency105.9

2.6Net Efficiency8.8

3.1Strength of Schedule4.4

-8.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.1

71.1Tempo67.3

51.2%Effective FG%53.9%

15.9%Turnover Rate15.0%

34.4%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

42.9%Free Throw Rate31.4%

1.8Average Margin5.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Villanova HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY77.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVillanova holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.4–52.7), offensive efficiency (114.7–111.7), defensive efficiency (105.9–109.1), net efficiency (8.8–2.6).

Butler COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (34.4–31.8), free throw rate (42.9–31.4).

Final

Butler

62—72

Villanova

Villanova by 10 • 59.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ButlerTEAM STATVillanova

22-51FG25-51

43.0%FG%49.0%

11-293PT10-24

38.0%3PT%42.0%

7-10FT12-12

70.0%FT%100.0%

20Rebounds37

3Offensive Rebounds9

14Assists12

7Turnovers12

6Steals4

1Blocks3

15Fouls14

Player Box Score

Butler

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jahmyl Telfort	Forward	40	7-13	3-6	2-2	7	2	2	0	19
Posh Alexander	Guard	37	4-9	4-6	3-4	6	3	2	0	15
Pierre Brooks II	Forward	32	4-8	2-6	0-2	0	0	1	0	10
DJ Davis	Guard	27	1-7	0-6	2-2	1	3	1	0	4
Jalen Thomas	Forward	24	2-5	0-1	0-0	2	2	0	1	4
Andre Screen	Center	16	2-3	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	4
Finley Bizjack	G	13	1-3	1-2	0-0	1	3	0	0	3
Landon Moore	G	11	1-3	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3

Villanova

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Eric Dixon	Forward	32	6-16	2-8	8-8	6	3	1	0	22
Justin Moore	Guard	30	4-6	3-4	2-2	4	1	0	1	13
Brendan Hausen	G	18	4-6	3-4	2-2	3	0	0	1	13
Tyler Burton	Forward	27	4-6	1-2	0-0	6	3	1	0	9
Jordan Longino	Guard	21	3-5	0-1	0-0	4	2	2	0	6
TJ Bamba	Guard	28	2-7	1-3	0-0	3	1	0	0	5
Mark Armstrong	Guard	20	2-4	0-1	0-0	2	2	0	1	4
Hakim Hart	Guard	14	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Lance Ware	Forward	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

59.8Possessions59.8

103.7Offensive Efficiency120.4

120.4Defensive Efficiency103.7

-16.7Net Efficiency16.7

53.9%Effective FG%58.8%

55.6%True Shooting %63.5%

11.7%Turnover Rate20.1%

19.6%Free Throw Rate23.5%

56.9%3-Point Rate47.1%

2.00Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Villanova won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 59.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.