Syracuse

15-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

20.0%Syracuse

80.0%NC State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNC State -9.9

PROJECTED TOTAL157.1

MODEL MONEYLINENC State -400

NC State

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSyracuse 74

Projected Total157.1

Projected ScoreNC State 84

Team Comparison

SyracuseMetricNC State

52.2MMH Power Index60.1

109.2Offensive Efficiency118.4

106.6Defensive Efficiency108.6

2.6Net Efficiency9.8

5.6Strength of Schedule6.4

-15.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.9

69.0Tempo70.2

52.9%Effective FG%55.1%

15.6%Turnover Rate13.1%

29.0%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

36.2%Free Throw Rate35.7%

1.8Average Margin6.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

NC State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNC State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–52.2), offensive efficiency (118.4–109.2), net efficiency (9.8–2.6), strength of schedule (6.4–5.6).

Syracuse COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.6–108.6), offensive rebounding (29.0–28.2), free throw rate (36.2–35.7).

Final

Syracuse

87—83

NC State

Syracuse by 4 • 67.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

SyracuseTEAM STATNC State

30-59FG26-57

51.0%FG%46.0%

9-173PT7-18

53.0%3PT%39.0%

18-19FT24-29

95.0%FT%83.0%

31Rebounds32

11Offensive Rebounds14

15Assists10

11Turnovers11

6Steals4

3Blocks5

20Fouls12

Player Box Score

Syracuse

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chris Bell	F	40	8-11	8-10	2-2	3	0	0	0	26
Quadir Copeland	G	26	10-13	0-1	5-6	8	1	1	2	25
Judah Mintz	Guard	28	4-13	0-2	7-7	2	4	2	1	15
J.J. Starling	G	40	6-14	1-3	0-0	4	2	0	0	13
Maliq Brown	F	34	1-5	0-0	4-4	5	6	2	0	6
Justin Taylor	G	17	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Kyle Cuffe Jr.	G	9	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	2	1	0	0
Mounir Hima	Forward	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

NC State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
DJ Horne	Guard	38	11-22	6-10	4-4	1	1	1	0	32
DJ Burns	Forward	24	4-8	0-0	4-4	3	3	0	2	12
Ben Middlebrooks	Forward	16	2-5	0-0	8-10	9	1	1	0	12
Jayden Taylor	Guard	29	3-6	1-3	3-3	2	1	2	0	10
Mohamed Diarra	Forward	26	3-6	0-3	1-1	8	1	0	2	7
Breon Pass	Guard	11	2-4	0-1	2-3	1	0	0	0	6
Casey Morsell	Guard	32	1-5	0-1	2-4	5	1	0	1	4
Michael O'Connell	Guard	16	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	0
Dennis Parker Jr.	G	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.9Possessions67.9

128.1Offensive Efficiency122.2

122.2Defensive Efficiency128.1

5.9Net Efficiency-5.9

58.5%Effective FG%51.8%

63.9%True Shooting %58.6%

16.2%Turnover Rate16.2%

32.2%Free Throw Rate50.9%

28.8%3-Point Rate31.6%

1.36Assist / Turnover0.91

Game Summary

Syracuse won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 67.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.