Iowa

24-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

24.4%Iowa

75.6%Michigan State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan State -8.3

PROJECTED TOTAL144.6

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan State -310

Michigan State

27-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIowa 68

Projected Total144.6

Projected ScoreMichigan State 76

Team Comparison

IowaMetricMichigan State

64.2MMH Power Index69.8

118.4Offensive Efficiency117.0

105.2Defensive Efficiency101.5

13.2Net Efficiency15.5

5.3Strength of Schedule7.2

2.0Last 10 Net Efficiency9.5

63.0Tempo67.3

56.6%Effective FG%54.1%

15.1%Turnover Rate17.2%

30.2%Offensive Rebound %37.7%

36.2%Free Throw Rate36.6%

8.3Average Margin10.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.8–64.2), defensive efficiency (101.5–105.2), net efficiency (15.5–13.2), strength of schedule (7.2–5.3).

Iowa COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (118.4–117.0), shooting efficiency (56.6–54.1), ball security (15.1–17.2).

Final

Iowa

78—71

Michigan State

Iowa by 7 • 64.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

IowaTEAM STATMichigan State

28-55FG27-60

51.0%FG%45.0%

4-133PT10-20

31.0%3PT%50.0%

18-23FT7-14

78.0%FT%50.0%

35Rebounds34

7Offensive Rebounds10

17Assists20

6Turnovers8

3Steals1

2Blocks4

14Fouls17

Player Box Score

Iowa

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Payton Sandfort	Forward	38	7-15	2-7	6-7	6	2	1	0	22
Ben Krikke	Forward	38	7-11	0-1	4-5	14	2	1	0	18
Patrick McCaffery	Forward	27	5-8	0-1	4-5	4	2	0	0	14
Tony Perkins	Guard	37	3-9	0-1	2-4	5	5	0	0	8
Owen Freeman	F	8	3-3	0-0	2-2	2	2	0	1	8
Ladji Dembele	F	12	1-5	1-1	0-0	1	2	1	0	3
Pryce Sandfort	F	9	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	1	3
Josh Dix	G	25	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Even Brauns	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Brock Harding	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Michigan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyson Walker	Guard	37	6-15	4-8	0-0	2	4	1	0	16
Malik Hall	Forward	35	7-13	1-1	1-2	10	5	0	0	16
AJ Hoggard	Guard	33	6-12	1-2	2-2	3	4	0	0	15
Tre Holloman	G	22	3-5	2-3	1-2	3	2	0	0	9
Jaden Akins	Guard	29	2-7	2-6	0-0	1	5	0	0	6
Carson Cooper	C	12	0-2	0-0	3-4	7	0	0	0	3
Jaxon Kohler	F	19	1-2	0-0	0-2	1	0	0	3	2
Xavier Booker	C	6	1-1	0-0	0-1	2	0	0	1	2
Coen Carr	F	2	1-2	0-0	0-1	1	0	0	0	2
Mady Sissoko	Center	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.8Possessions64.8

120.4Offensive Efficiency109.6

109.6Defensive Efficiency120.4

10.8Net Efficiency-10.8

54.5%Effective FG%53.3%

59.2%True Shooting %53.3%

9.2%Turnover Rate12.4%

41.8%Free Throw Rate23.3%

23.6%3-Point Rate33.3%

2.83Assist / Turnover2.50

Game Summary

Iowa won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 64.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.