Ball State

12-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

69.8%Ball State

30.2%Northern Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBall State -4.2

PROJECTED TOTAL142.2

MODEL MONEYLINEBall State -231

Northern Illinois

9-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBall State 73

Projected Total142.2

Projected ScoreNorthern Illinois 69

Team Comparison

Ball StateMetricNorthern Illinois

41.3MMH Power Index29.2

101.7Offensive Efficiency99.7

104.7Defensive Efficiency111.6

-3.0Net Efficiency-11.9

-3.9Strength of Schedule-2.1

-0.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-28.8

66.4Tempo69.7

48.3%Effective FG%48.5%

16.0%Turnover Rate21.3%

26.5%Offensive Rebound %31.7%

33.0%Free Throw Rate39.6%

-2.0Average Margin-8.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Ball State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBall State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (41.3–29.2), offensive efficiency (101.7–99.7), defensive efficiency (104.7–111.6), net efficiency (-3.0–-11.9).

Northern Illinois COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.1–-3.9), shooting efficiency (48.5–48.3), offensive rebounding (31.7–26.5).

Final

Ball State

70—63

Northern Illinois

Ball State by 7 • 71.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Ball StateTEAM STATNorthern Illinois

21-56FG21-62

38.0%FG%34.0%

7-173PT6-24

41.0%3PT%25.0%

21-27FT15-24

78.0%FT%63.0%

38Rebounds45

8Offensive Rebounds15

15Assists7

9Turnovers14

5Steals3

2Blocks5

18Fouls20

Player Box Score

Ball State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalin Anderson	Point Guard	40	8-15	1-4	2-2	8	7	1	0	19
Basheer Jihad	Forward	37	3-18	0-0	11-13	10	1	2	0	17
Davion Bailey	G	38	5-9	5-8	0-0	6	4	1	1	15
Mickey Pearson Jr.	Forward	34	1-6	1-5	7-10	3	0	1	1	10
Ben Hendriks	Center	21	2-3	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	5
Mason Jones	F	24	2-3	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	0	4
Trent Middleton Jr.	G	6	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Northern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
David Coit	G	40	10-26	3-10	5-5	0	1	0	0	28
Yanic Konan Niederhauser	Forward	15	2-4	0-0	6-7	5	0	0	3	10
Will Lovings-Watts	Guard	40	3-11	1-5	1-4	10	2	0	1	8
Ethan Butler	F	38	3-11	1-4	0-0	10	2	0	1	7
Harvin Ibarguen	Forward	20	1-3	0-0	3-4	8	0	1	0	5
Zion Russell	G	38	1-5	1-4	0-4	2	2	2	0	3
Oluwasegun Durosinmi	Forward	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Philmon Gebrewhit	Guard	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.1Possessions71.1

98.5Offensive Efficiency88.6

88.6Defensive Efficiency98.5

9.8Net Efficiency-9.8

43.8%Effective FG%38.7%

50.9%True Shooting %42.9%

12.9%Turnover Rate19.3%

48.2%Free Throw Rate38.7%

30.4%3-Point Rate38.7%

1.67Assist / Turnover0.50

Game Summary

Ball State won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 71.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.