Oklahoma State

20-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

19.8%Oklahoma State

80.2%Cincinnati

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCincinnati -10.0

PROJECTED TOTAL156.4

MODEL MONEYLINECincinnati -405

Cincinnati

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOklahoma State 73

Projected Total156.4

Projected ScoreCincinnati 83

Team Comparison

Oklahoma StateMetricCincinnati

53.5MMH Power Index61.5

112.1Offensive Efficiency105.3

111.2Defensive Efficiency97.3

0.9Net Efficiency8.0

6.1Strength of Schedule5.1

-8.5Last 10 Net Efficiency14.4

74.8Tempo69.4

52.2%Effective FG%50.6%

15.8%Turnover Rate17.0%

30.5%Offensive Rebound %30.6%

40.3%Free Throw Rate30.7%

0.7Average Margin5.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cincinnati HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCincinnati holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.5–53.5), defensive efficiency (97.3–111.2), net efficiency (8.0–0.9), recent form (14.4–-8.5).

Oklahoma State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (112.1–105.3), strength of schedule (6.1–5.1), shooting efficiency (52.2–50.6).

Final

Oklahoma State

80—76

Cincinnati

Oklahoma State by 4 • 68.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Oklahoma StateTEAM STATCincinnati

30-54FG30-60

56.0%FG%50.0%

7-173PT5-17

41.0%3PT%29.0%

13-14FT11-16

93.0%FT%69.0%

26Rebounds32

6Offensive Rebounds13

20Assists11

13Turnovers14

7Steals11

1Blocks6

14Fouls14

Player Box Score

Oklahoma State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Javon Small	Guard	36	7-15	1-7	4-4	2	3	2	1	19
Jamyron Keller	G	36	4-8	2-3	5-5	2	3	1	0	15
Brandon Garrison	F	29	6-8	0-0	2-2	4	3	2	0	14
Quion Williams	G	37	5-7	0-0	2-2	8	8	1	0	12
John-Michael Wright	Guard	37	4-9	3-6	0-0	0	2	0	0	11
Eric Dailey Jr.	F	14	4-7	1-1	0-1	3	1	1	0	9
Jarius Hicklen	Guard	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Mike Marsh	Center	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Cincinnati

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Simas Lukosius	Guard	30	7-14	3-4	0-0	5	4	2	0	17
Day Day Thomas	G	26	3-9	1-3	3-4	0	2	2	0	10
Jamille Reynolds	Forward	17	3-5	0-1	4-4	4	0	0	1	10
Jizzle James	G	14	5-7	0-0	0-1	0	1	0	0	10
Dan Skillings Jr.	G	34	3-10	1-3	2-4	10	3	1	1	9
John Newman III	Forward	32	3-5	0-2	1-2	4	0	1	2	7
Aziz Bandaogo	Forward	23	3-3	0-0	1-1	6	0	2	2	7
Josh Reed	F	13	3-6	0-3	0-0	3	0	2	0	6
CJ Fredrick Jr.	Guard	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Ody Oguama	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.2Possessions68.2

117.3Offensive Efficiency111.4

111.4Defensive Efficiency117.3

5.9Net Efficiency-5.9

62.0%Effective FG%54.2%

66.0%True Shooting %56.2%

19.2%Turnover Rate20.4%

25.9%Free Throw Rate26.7%

31.5%3-Point Rate28.3%

1.54Assist / Turnover0.79

Game Summary

Oklahoma State won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 68.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, True Shooting %, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.