The Citadel

11-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

7.1%The Citadel

92.9%Mercer

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMercer -18.3

PROJECTED TOTAL155.8

MODEL MONEYLINEMercer -1308

Mercer

19-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreThe Citadel 69

Projected Total155.8

Projected ScoreMercer 87

Team Comparison

The CitadelMetricMercer

35.6MMH Power Index54.1

106.1Offensive Efficiency116.6

116.9Defensive Efficiency106.5

-10.8Net Efficiency10.1

-1.3Strength of Schedule-4.4

-16.2Last 10 Net Efficiency1.2

66.3Tempo70.9

50.4%Effective FG%53.8%

15.7%Turnover Rate14.7%

28.6%Offensive Rebound %33.6%

29.6%Free Throw Rate38.9%

-7.2Average Margin7.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Mercer HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY92.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMercer holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.1–35.6), offensive efficiency (116.6–106.1), defensive efficiency (106.5–116.9), net efficiency (10.1–-10.8).

The Citadel COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.3–-4.4).

Final

The Citadel

78—87

Mercer

Mercer by 9 • 65.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

The CitadelTEAM STATMercer

31-59FG36-57

53.0%FG%63.0%

8-213PT4-8

38.0%3PT%50.0%

8-14FT11-16

57.0%FT%69.0%

26Rebounds29

9Offensive Rebounds8

15Assists19

9Turnovers8

6Steals4

4Blocks4

13Fouls14

Player Box Score

The Citadel

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Elijah Morgan	Guard	32	8-16	2-8	2-2	2	2	1	0	20
AJ Smith	G	29	7-14	2-4	1-2	1	3	0	0	17
Madison Durr	G	40	5-11	2-3	3-5	4	4	1	1	15
Quentin Millora-Brown	Forward	37	6-10	0-1	1-3	10	5	0	3	13
Kam Roberts	Guard	19	3-3	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	7
Keynan Davis	G	29	2-4	1-3	1-2	3	1	3	0	6
Colby McAllister	Guard	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Marcus Pigram	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Mercer

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalyn McCreary	Forward	31	11-17	0-0	3-4	4	1	0	2	25
Alex Holt	Forward	28	11-11	0-0	1-4	3	2	0	0	23
Jalen Cobb	Guard	19	6-9	3-4	0-0	1	0	1	0	15
David Thomas	G	38	5-11	0-1	0-0	3	8	0	0	10
Jake Davis	F	29	2-3	1-2	2-2	5	5	0	0	7
Caleb Hunter	Guard	16	1-3	0-1	2-2	2	1	1	0	4
Jah Quinones	Guard	12	0-1	0-0	3-4	3	0	2	2	3
TJ Grant	G	15	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Amanze Ngumezi	Forward	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Robby Carmody	Guard	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.2Possessions65.2

119.6Offensive Efficiency133.4

133.4Defensive Efficiency119.6

-13.8Net Efficiency13.8

59.3%Effective FG%66.7%

59.4%True Shooting %67.3%

13.7%Turnover Rate12.4%

23.7%Free Throw Rate28.1%

35.6%3-Point Rate14.0%

1.67Assist / Turnover2.38

Game Summary

Mercer won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 65.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.