Middle Tennessee

17-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

41.0%Middle Tennessee

59.0%Jacksonville State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADJacksonville State -3.7

PROJECTED TOTAL145.3

MODEL MONEYLINEJacksonville State -144

Jacksonville State

15-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMiddle Tennessee 71

Projected Total145.3

Projected ScoreJacksonville State 74

Team Comparison

Middle TennesseeMetricJacksonville State

52.5MMH Power Index51.2

109.6Offensive Efficiency108.2

105.7Defensive Efficiency101.8

3.9Net Efficiency6.4

0.4Strength of Schedule-2.3

3.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.3

68.8Tempo67.2

52.2%Effective FG%51.0%

16.7%Turnover Rate17.0%

31.3%Offensive Rebound %31.3%

33.2%Free Throw Rate44.5%

2.7Average Margin4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Middle Tennessee HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY59.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMiddle Tennessee holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (52.5–51.2), offensive efficiency (109.6–108.2), strength of schedule (0.4–-2.3), recent form (3.2–-0.3).

Jacksonville State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (101.8–105.7), net efficiency (6.4–3.9), free throw rate (44.5–33.2).

Final

Middle Tennessee

68—76

Jacksonville State

Jacksonville State by 8 • 66.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Middle TennesseeTEAM STATJacksonville State

23-56FG24-61

41.0%FG%39.0%

12-293PT3-9

41.0%3PT%33.0%

10-15FT25-30

67.0%FT%83.0%

34Rebounds40

7Offensive Rebounds12

17Assists12

10Turnovers4

2Steals5

3Blocks3

20Fouls13

Player Box Score

Middle Tennessee

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jared Coleman-Jones	Forward	35	8-18	2-6	1-2	7	3	0	1	19
Justin Bufford	Guard	31	4-10	2-6	2-4	5	2	1	2	12
Elias King	Guard	30	3-5	3-5	2-2	5	5	0	0	11
Tre Green	G	21	3-7	3-5	2-2	1	2	0	0	11
Jestin Porter	G	37	2-8	1-3	0-0	2	2	0	0	5
Jalen Jordan	Guard	9	1-4	1-4	2-3	1	2	1	0	5
Jacob Johnson	Guard	32	1-3	0-0	1-2	7	1	0	0	3
Chris Loofe	F	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2

Jacksonville State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Matt Mayers	Forward	17	6-8	0-0	6-7	6	1	0	1	18
KyKy Tandy	Guard	31	2-15	0-3	7-7	3	2	2	1	11
Ivan Reynolds	Guard	37	3-9	0-0	4-7	6	3	0	0	10
Juwan Perdue	Forward	30	4-9	1-3	0-0	4	1	1	0	9
Marcellus Brigham Jr.	Forward	29	3-6	2-3	1-1	9	1	0	0	9
Quincy Clark	Guard	18	2-3	0-0	4-4	2	3	0	0	8
Caleb Johnson	F	14	2-3	0-0	2-2	4	0	0	0	6
Mason Nicholson	C	16	2-4	0-0	1-2	4	1	1	1	5
Andres Burney	F	7	0-4	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Travis Roberts	SG	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.7Possessions66.7

101.9Offensive Efficiency113.9

113.9Defensive Efficiency101.9

-12.0Net Efficiency12.0

51.8%Effective FG%41.8%

53.9%True Shooting %50.5%

15.1%Turnover Rate5.9%

26.8%Free Throw Rate49.2%

51.8%3-Point Rate14.8%

1.70Assist / Turnover3.00

Game Summary

Jacksonville State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 66.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.