Furman

22-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.0%Furman

63.0%Samford

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSamford -3.2

PROJECTED TOTAL152.8

MODEL MONEYLINESamford -170

Samford

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFurman 75

Projected Total152.8

Projected ScoreSamford 78

Team Comparison

FurmanMetricSamford

53.9MMH Power Index54.1

113.3Offensive Efficiency113.5

105.1Defensive Efficiency108.3

8.2Net Efficiency5.2

-1.8Strength of Schedule-2.9

4.6Last 10 Net Efficiency14.0

67.4Tempo69.5

55.4%Effective FG%54.0%

17.7%Turnover Rate13.3%

31.7%Offensive Rebound %25.3%

32.6%Free Throw Rate42.5%

5.5Average Margin3.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Furman HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMFurman holds the advantage in defensive efficiency (105.1–108.3), net efficiency (8.2–5.2), strength of schedule (-1.8–-2.9), shooting efficiency (55.4–54.0).

Samford COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (54.1–53.9), offensive efficiency (113.5–113.3), recent form (14.0–4.6).

Final

Furman

72—74

Samford

Samford by 2 • 69.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

FurmanTEAM STATSamford

24-55FG25-52

44.0%FG%48.0%

9-323PT9-25

28.0%3PT%36.0%

15-20FT15-19

75.0%FT%79.0%

32Rebounds32

8Offensive Rebounds6

14Assists18

14Turnovers14

6Steals5

—Blocks3

23Fouls20

Player Box Score

Furman

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
JP Pegues	Guard	34	9-15	6-11	9-9	6	2	1	33
Garrett Hien	Forward	29	4-6	0-0	2-5	6	5	1	10
PJay Smith Jr.	Guard	34	3-11	2-9	0-0	4	2	1	8
Carter Whitt	Guard	22	3-7	0-3	0-0	2	3	0	6
Marcus Foster	Guard	31	1-7	1-7	2-2	7	1	1	5
Ben Vander Wal	F	33	2-4	0-1	0-2	4	1	2	4
Cooper Bowser	F	8	1-1	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	4
Tyrese Hughey	Forward	7	1-4	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	2
Davis Molnar	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Samford

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Rylan Jones	Guard	34	5-14	4-9	3-4	5	4	3	0	17
Jermaine Marshall	Forward	21	6-11	0-3	3-4	8	1	1	1	15
Nathan Johnson	Forward	27	3-4	2-3	5-5	2	1	0	0	13
Jaden Campbell	Guard	34	4-7	2-5	2-2	4	1	0	1	12
Riley Allenspach	F	20	4-5	0-0	0-2	4	1	0	0	8
Josh Holloway	G	12	2-3	0-1	2-2	0	3	0	0	6
Garrett Hicks	Guard	22	1-6	1-3	0-0	3	4	0	0	3
Dallas Graziani	Guard	12	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	3	1	0	0
Achor Achor	F	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Lukas Walls	G	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.8Possessions69.8

103.2Offensive Efficiency106.0

106.0Defensive Efficiency103.2

-2.9Net Efficiency2.9

51.8%Effective FG%56.7%

55.8%True Shooting %60.6%

19.9%Turnover Rate20.3%

36.4%Free Throw Rate36.5%

58.2%3-Point Rate48.1%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.29

Game Summary

Samford won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 69.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.