Indiana State

11-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

24.6%Indiana State

75.4%Valparaiso

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADValparaiso -7.4

PROJECTED TOTAL146.7

MODEL MONEYLINEValparaiso -307

Valparaiso

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIndiana State 70

Projected Total146.7

Projected ScoreValparaiso 77

Team Comparison

Indiana StateMetricValparaiso

44.4MMH Power Index49.9

104.7Offensive Efficiency106.6

106.0Defensive Efficiency105.8

-1.3Net Efficiency0.8

0.1Strength of Schedule0.3

-5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

70.3Tempo67.5

53.6%Effective FG%48.7%

19.5%Turnover Rate15.6%

27.3%Offensive Rebound %32.4%

28.8%Free Throw Rate40.0%

-0.9Average Margin0.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Valparaiso HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMValparaiso holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.9–44.4), offensive efficiency (106.6–104.7), defensive efficiency (105.8–106.0), net efficiency (0.8–-1.3).

Indiana State COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (53.6–48.7).

Final

Indiana State

83—64

Valparaiso

Indiana State by 19 • 67.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Indiana StateTEAM STATValparaiso

32-56FG25-60

57.0%FG%42.0%

9-233PT4-17

39.0%3PT%24.0%

10-10FT10-13

100.0%FT%77.0%

36Rebounds25

8Offensive Rebounds9

21Assists7

14Turnovers11

5Steals4

—Blocks2

16Fouls11

Player Box Score

Indiana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Jayson Kent	Forward	31	8-13	1-5	6-6	6	0	0	23
Ryan Conwell	G	36	5-11	3-7	2-2	6	2	1	15
Xavier Bledson	Guard	35	6-8	3-5	0-0	6	3	0	15
Robbie Avila	C	24	6-10	1-2	2-2	2	6	1	15
Jaden Daughtry	F	8	3-7	0-2	0-0	3	0	0	6
Julian Larry	Guard	37	2-5	1-2	0-0	3	6	2	5
Jake Wolfe	Guard	24	2-2	0-0	0-0	5	4	1	4
Masen Miller	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0
Derek Vorst	C	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Valparaiso

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Stafford	G	35	9-18	0-4	5-7	3	0	0	0	23
Jerome Palm	F	27	7-11	0-0	0-0	2	1	2	0	14
Sherman Weatherspoon IV	G	23	4-5	3-4	0-0	2	0	0	2	11
Darius DeAveiro	Guard	34	3-8	1-3	0-0	2	4	1	0	7
Cooper Schwieger	F	22	1-7	0-2	4-4	5	1	0	0	6
Jaxon Edwards	G	19	1-5	0-1	1-2	2	0	1	0	3
Jahari Williamson	G	14	0-3	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Kaspar Sepp	F	13	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Connor Barrett	Guard	10	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ola Ajiboye	F	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.5Possessions67.5

123.0Offensive Efficiency94.8

94.8Defensive Efficiency123.0

28.1Net Efficiency-28.1

65.2%Effective FG%45.0%

68.3%True Shooting %48.4%

21.0%Turnover Rate16.1%

17.9%Free Throw Rate21.7%

41.1%3-Point Rate28.3%

1.50Assist / Turnover0.64

Game Summary

Indiana State won by 19 points. The game played at approximately 67.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.