Murray State

20-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

35.0%Murray State

65.0%Southern Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouthern Illinois -4.9

PROJECTED TOTAL155.6

MODEL MONEYLINESouthern Illinois -186

Southern Illinois

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMurray State 75

Projected Total155.6

Projected ScoreSouthern Illinois 80

Team Comparison

Murray StateMetricSouthern Illinois

53.6MMH Power Index54.6

115.0Offensive Efficiency103.4

111.0Defensive Efficiency98.5

4.0Net Efficiency4.9

3.5Strength of Schedule1.6

-9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency7.7

72.3Tempo70.6

54.0%Effective FG%49.5%

16.3%Turnover Rate17.0%

32.7%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

39.1%Free Throw Rate32.3%

2.9Average Margin3.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Murray State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMurray State holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (115.0–103.4), strength of schedule (3.5–1.6), shooting efficiency (54.0–49.5), ball security (16.3–17.0).

Southern Illinois COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (54.6–53.6), defensive efficiency (98.5–111.0), net efficiency (4.9–4.0).

Final

Murray State

68—72

Southern Illinois

Southern Illinois by 4 • 64.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Murray StateTEAM STATSouthern Illinois

27-52FG26-53

52.0%FG%49.0%

5-113PT10-23

45.0%3PT%43.0%

9-13FT10-12

69.0%FT%83.0%

28Rebounds27

7Offensive Rebounds7

11Assists18

15Turnovers11

5Steals10

5Blocks4

13Fouls14

Player Box Score

Murray State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
JaCobi Wood	Guard	37	6-13	2-5	3-3	6	2	1	0	17
Quincy Anderson	Guard	35	5-10	1-1	4-7	2	2	0	0	15
Nick Ellington	F	33	7-10	0-0	0-0	8	2	1	5	14
Rob Perry	Guard	30	2-6	0-1	2-3	5	0	0	0	6
Justin Morgan	Guard	25	3-5	0-2	0-0	1	0	2	0	6
Lawrent Rice	Guard	18	2-3	1-1	0-0	1	3	1	0	5
Shawn Walker Jr.	Guard	15	2-2	1-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	5
Malek Abdelgowad	F	7	0-3	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0

Southern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Troy D'Amico	Forward	40	8-16	4-8	0-0	3	1	0	0	20
Jarrett Hensley	Forward	18	6-7	1-2	2-2	3	1	1	2	15
Trent Brown	Guard	39	3-6	3-6	2-2	3	3	1	0	11
Kennard Davis Jr.	G	24	3-3	0-0	2-2	3	2	1	1	8
Xavier Johnson	Guard	40	1-12	1-6	4-4	2	9	5	0	7
Scottie Ebube	C	21	3-4	0-0	0-2	4	1	2	1	6
AJ Ferguson	Guard	18	2-5	1-1	0-0	4	1	0	0	5

Advanced Game Stats

64.5Possessions64.5

105.4Offensive Efficiency111.6

111.6Defensive Efficiency105.4

-6.2Net Efficiency6.2

56.7%Effective FG%58.5%

58.4%True Shooting %61.3%

22.7%Turnover Rate17.5%

25.0%Free Throw Rate22.6%

21.2%3-Point Rate43.4%

0.73Assist / Turnover1.64

Game Summary

Southern Illinois won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 64.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.