Providence

15-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

50.4%Providence

49.6%Xavier

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADXavier -0.7

PROJECTED TOTAL169.5

MODEL MONEYLINEProvidence -102

Xavier

15-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreProvidence 84

Projected Total169.5

Projected ScoreXavier 85

Team Comparison

ProvidenceMetricXavier

54.2MMH Power Index49.5

115.0Offensive Efficiency109.2

113.2Defensive Efficiency112.4

1.8Net Efficiency-3.2

4.0Strength of Schedule5.6

-1.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.4

74.2Tempo71.7

55.0%Effective FG%51.7%

16.7%Turnover Rate13.9%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %26.2%

37.3%Free Throw Rate28.9%

1.3Average Margin-2.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Providence HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMProvidence holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–49.5), offensive efficiency (115.0–109.2), net efficiency (1.8–-3.2), recent form (-1.3–-7.4).

Xavier COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (112.4–113.2), strength of schedule (5.6–4.0), ball security (13.9–16.7).

Final

Providence

79—75

Xavier

Providence by 4 • 68.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ProvidenceTEAM STATXavier

27-62FG27-63

44.0%FG%43.0%

9-283PT7-19

32.0%3PT%37.0%

16-20FT14-23

80.0%FT%61.0%

39Rebounds34

13Offensive Rebounds14

18Assists18

11Turnovers8

5Steals8

8Blocks2

17Fouls18

Player Box Score

Providence

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Devin Carter	Guard	37	7-20	1-6	7-9	11	7	0	4	22
Jayden Pierre	G	38	7-14	3-6	0-1	3	5	3	1	17
Corey Floyd Jr.	G	28	3-7	1-3	4-4	5	0	0	0	11
Rich Barron	F	28	3-7	3-7	1-2	0	1	0	0	10
Josh Oduro	Forward	25	4-5	1-1	0-0	6	2	1	1	9
Ticket Gaines	Guard	20	1-5	0-4	4-4	2	0	0	2	6
Rafael Castro	F	13	2-2	0-0	0-0	6	1	0	0	4
Garwey Dual	G	11	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	2	1	0	0

Xavier

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Desmond Claude	G	38	7-20	1-5	7-8	2	2	1	1	22
Quincy Olivari	Guard	38	6-16	4-9	3-3	5	2	1	0	19
Dayvion McKnight	Guard	39	6-11	1-3	3-6	3	6	4	0	16
Abou Ousmane	Forward	27	6-7	0-0	1-2	13	3	2	0	13
Gytis Nemeiksa	F	21	2-2	1-1	0-2	3	2	0	1	5
Dailyn Swain	G	20	0-4	0-0	0-2	3	2	0	0	0
Sasa Ciani	F	11	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Trey Green	G	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kachi Nzeh	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.7Possessions68.7

115.0Offensive Efficiency109.2

109.2Defensive Efficiency115.0

5.8Net Efficiency-5.8

50.8%Effective FG%48.4%

55.2%True Shooting %50.7%

15.8%Turnover Rate11.8%

32.3%Free Throw Rate36.5%

45.2%3-Point Rate30.2%

1.64Assist / Turnover2.25

Game Summary

Providence won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 68.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.