Central Connecticut

18-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

41.5%Central Connecticut

58.5%Wagner

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWagner -2.7

PROJECTED TOTAL144.5

MODEL MONEYLINEWagner -141

Wagner

14-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCentral Connecticut 71

Projected Total144.5

Projected ScoreWagner 74

Team Comparison

Central ConnecticutMetricWagner

44.4MMH Power Index42.9

111.4Offensive Efficiency105.5

107.0Defensive Efficiency106.1

4.4Net Efficiency-0.6

-7.7Strength of Schedule-5.0

-0.5Last 10 Net Efficiency0.3

66.3Tempo67.6

54.0%Effective FG%50.2%

15.9%Turnover Rate18.9%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %34.0%

31.3%Free Throw Rate31.6%

2.9Average Margin-0.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Connecticut HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY58.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Connecticut holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.4–42.9), offensive efficiency (111.4–105.5), net efficiency (4.4–-0.6), shooting efficiency (54.0–50.2).

Wagner COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.1–107.0), strength of schedule (-5.0–-7.7), recent form (0.3–-0.5).

Final

Central Connecticut

73—72

Wagner

Central Connecticut by 1 • 68.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Central ConnecticutTEAM STATWagner

23-49FG23-63

47.0%FG%37.0%

7-193PT10-26

37.0%3PT%38.0%

20-27FT16-18

74.0%FT%89.0%

38Rebounds32

9Offensive Rebounds12

17Assists17

14Turnovers10

5Steals9

4Blocks1

16Fouls20

Player Box Score

Central Connecticut

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Davonte Sweatman	Guard	33	4-4	3-3	4-4	6	3	1	0	15
Jayden Brown	Forward	24	4-8	0-0	7-7	7	1	0	1	15
Tre Breland	Guard	38	5-12	3-7	0-0	6	2	1	0	13
Jordan Jones	Guard	37	4-13	0-4	2-6	1	6	1	1	10
Abdul Momoh	F	18	4-5	0-0	1-3	8	1	0	1	9
Joe Ostrowsky	Guard	13	1-2	0-1	4-4	2	2	1	0	6
Kellen Amos	Guard	37	1-5	1-4	2-3	5	2	1	1	5

Wagner

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Julian Brown	Guard	37	5-9	5-7	2-2	1	0	1	0	17
Keyontae Lewis	F	21	6-10	0-0	3-3	7	0	0	1	15
Melvin Council Jr.	G	40	3-13	1-4	4-4	7	7	1	0	11
Javier Ezquerra	G	35	4-11	2-7	1-2	4	8	4	0	11
Tahron Allen	Not Available	33	3-11	1-3	4-5	6	2	2	0	11
Tyje Kelton	F	16	2-7	1-4	2-2	2	0	1	0	7
Seck Zongo	Forward	18	0-2	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.2Possessions68.2

107.0Offensive Efficiency105.6

105.6Defensive Efficiency107.0

1.5Net Efficiency-1.5

54.1%Effective FG%44.4%

59.0%True Shooting %50.3%

21.0%Turnover Rate14.4%

55.1%Free Throw Rate28.6%

38.8%3-Point Rate41.3%

1.21Assist / Turnover1.70

Game Summary

Central Connecticut won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 68.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.