Cleveland State

11-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

8.6%Cleveland State

91.4%Northern Kentucky

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Kentucky -17.0

PROJECTED TOTAL168.4

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Kentucky -1063

Northern Kentucky

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCleveland State 76

Projected Total168.4

Projected ScoreNorthern Kentucky 93

Team Comparison

Cleveland StateMetricNorthern Kentucky

37.3MMH Power Index53.9

111.6Offensive Efficiency114.9

120.2Defensive Efficiency107.1

-8.6Net Efficiency7.8

-1.7Strength of Schedule-2.9

-14.6Last 10 Net Efficiency4.6

71.5Tempo72.3

55.0%Effective FG%54.5%

18.0%Turnover Rate16.3%

28.6%Offensive Rebound %33.0%

38.7%Free Throw Rate37.1%

-6.2Average Margin5.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Kentucky HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Kentucky holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.9–37.3), offensive efficiency (114.9–111.6), defensive efficiency (107.1–120.2), net efficiency (7.8–-8.6).

Cleveland State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.7–-2.9), shooting efficiency (55.0–54.5), free throw rate (38.7–37.1).

Final

Cleveland State

73—75

Northern Kentucky

Northern Kentucky by 2 • 68.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cleveland StateTEAM STATNorthern Kentucky

31-66FG24-53

47.0%FG%45.0%

3-173PT5-18

18.0%3PT%28.0%

8-11FT22-25

73.0%FT%88.0%

31Rebounds36

8Offensive Rebounds7

14Assists11

6Turnovers10

7Steals2

1Blocks2

18Fouls11

Player Box Score

Cleveland State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tristan Enaruna	Forward	36	10-20	2-3	3-4	7	1	1	0	25
Tae Williams	Guard	27	5-7	0-0	4-6	10	1	3	0	14
Jalin Rice	G	15	5-6	1-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	11
Dylan Arnett	F	23	4-4	0-0	1-1	6	3	1	1	9
Tevin Smith	Guard	24	4-9	0-3	0-0	0	2	0	0	8
Chase Robinson	Guard	18	2-4	0-1	0-0	1	2	1	0	4
Drew Lowder	Guard	31	1-10	0-4	0-0	0	4	0	0	2
Jayson Woodrich	Guard	22	0-6	0-5	0-0	5	0	1	0	0
T.J. Moss	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Northern Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marques Warrick	Guard	39	7-16	1-6	12-12	7	5	1	0	27
LJ Wells	F	31	6-10	0-0	5-5	7	1	1	0	17
Trey Robinson	Guard	36	4-10	1-3	3-6	10	2	0	1	12
Michael Bradley	Guard	36	2-7	1-5	0-0	2	2	0	0	5
Randall Pettus II	G	18	2-4	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	5
Jeramiah Israel	Guard	14	2-4	1-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	5
Keeyan Itejere	F	24	1-2	0-0	2-2	4	0	0	1	4
Cesar Tchilombo	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.6Possessions68.6

106.4Offensive Efficiency109.3

109.3Defensive Efficiency106.4

-2.9Net Efficiency2.9

49.2%Effective FG%50.0%

51.2%True Shooting %57.8%

8.7%Turnover Rate14.7%

16.7%Free Throw Rate47.2%

25.8%3-Point Rate34.0%

2.33Assist / Turnover1.10

Game Summary

Northern Kentucky won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 68.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.