App State

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

56.7%App State

43.3%Old Dominion

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADApp State -1.8

PROJECTED TOTAL146.9

MODEL MONEYLINEApp State -131

Old Dominion

12-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreApp State 74

Projected Total146.9

Projected ScoreOld Dominion 73

Team Comparison

App StateMetricOld Dominion

54.2MMH Power Index47.2

110.9Offensive Efficiency107.4

101.7Defensive Efficiency109.8

9.2Net Efficiency-2.4

-4.2Strength of Schedule-0.1

7.0Last 10 Net Efficiency4.1

64.9Tempo70.9

51.1%Effective FG%50.9%

15.2%Turnover Rate15.4%

34.2%Offensive Rebound %26.1%

39.8%Free Throw Rate35.2%

6.0Average Margin-1.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

App State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMApp State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–47.2), offensive efficiency (110.9–107.4), defensive efficiency (101.7–109.8), net efficiency (9.2–-2.4).

Old Dominion COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.1–-4.2).

Final

App State

82—67

Old Dominion

App State by 15 • 69.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

App StateTEAM STATOld Dominion

30-62FG26-64

48.0%FG%41.0%

9-183PT6-21

50.0%3PT%29.0%

13-21FT9-13

62.0%FT%69.0%

47Rebounds29

16Offensive Rebounds9

15Assists9

13Turnovers8

6Steals9

7Blocks6

16Fouls15

Player Box Score

App State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Terence Harcum	Guard	34	8-16	4-9	2-2	2	1	0	0	22
Myles Tate	Guard	24	6-7	2-3	0-0	6	5	1	0	14
Tre'Von Spillers	F	31	5-11	0-0	2-2	11	2	2	1	12
Donovan Gregory	Forward	31	4-10	2-3	2-3	5	4	0	2	12
Jordan Marsh	G	8	2-5	0-1	3-4	0	0	1	0	7
CJ Huntley	Forward	31	3-6	0-0	0-2	11	1	1	1	6
Justin Abson	F	18	1-4	0-0	3-4	7	1	0	0	5
Christopher Mantis	Forward	9	1-3	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Xavion Brown	Guard	14	0-0	0-0	1-4	1	1	1	3	1

Old Dominion

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Devin Ceaser	G	24	7-14	3-5	5-6	2	0	1	0	22
Chaunce Jenkins	Guard	34	8-17	2-5	1-3	3	3	0	1	19
Tyrone Williams	Guard	34	4-12	0-3	3-4	4	2	0	0	11
R.J. Blakney	Forward	32	2-7	0-4	0-0	7	1	1	0	4
Imo Essien	Guard	22	2-4	0-0	0-0	1	1	2	1	4
Bryce Baker	G	14	1-3	1-3	0-0	0	2	2	0	3
Dani Pounds	F	22	1-5	0-0	0-0	8	0	2	3	2
Leeroy Odiahi	F	8	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	2
Jason Wade	Guard	10	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.1Possessions69.1

118.7Offensive Efficiency97.0

97.0Defensive Efficiency118.7

21.7Net Efficiency-21.7

55.6%Effective FG%45.3%

57.0%True Shooting %47.7%

18.8%Turnover Rate11.6%

33.9%Free Throw Rate20.3%

29.0%3-Point Rate32.8%

1.15Assist / Turnover1.13

Game Summary

App State won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 69.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.