South Alabama

21-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

41.5%South Alabama

58.5%Southern Miss

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouthern Miss -2.7

PROJECTED TOTAL147.6

MODEL MONEYLINESouthern Miss -141

Southern Miss

19-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouth Alabama 72

Projected Total147.6

Projected ScoreSouthern Miss 75

Team Comparison

South AlabamaMetricSouthern Miss

51.4MMH Power Index49.9

110.3Offensive Efficiency106.1

103.9Defensive Efficiency104.9

6.4Net Efficiency1.2

-3.7Strength of Schedule-0.2

3.4Last 10 Net Efficiency3.8

67.4Tempo70.4

53.2%Effective FG%49.9%

12.8%Turnover Rate18.4%

24.9%Offensive Rebound %32.3%

39.8%Free Throw Rate43.9%

4.3Average Margin0.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

South Alabama HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY58.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouth Alabama holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.4–49.9), offensive efficiency (110.3–106.1), defensive efficiency (103.9–104.9), net efficiency (6.4–1.2).

Southern Miss COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.2–-3.7), recent form (3.8–3.4), offensive rebounding (32.3–24.9).

Final

South Alabama

83—64

Southern Miss

South Alabama by 19 • 77.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

South AlabamaTEAM STATSouthern Miss

25-48FG22-63

52.0%FG%35.0%

8-133PT2-14

62.0%3PT%14.0%

25-36FT18-29

69.0%FT%62.0%

38Rebounds39

4Offensive Rebounds13

10Assists9

16Turnovers15

5Steals9

1Blocks6

21Fouls24

Player Box Score

South Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Samuel Tabe	Guard	30	10-14	0-0	9-11	5	1	1	0	29
Isiah Gaiter	Guard	26	3-5	2-3	9-12	0	2	1	0	17
Tyrell Jones	Guard	32	4-12	2-4	2-5	8	2	0	0	12
Marcus Millender	G	34	2-6	1-1	4-4	3	3	0	0	9
Julian Margrave	F	17	3-5	3-5	0-0	4	0	1	0	9
Elijah Ormiston	Forward	17	2-3	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	0	4
Thomas Howell	Forward	22	1-3	0-0	1-2	5	2	1	0	3
Judah Brown	Forward	18	0-0	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	1	0
Ethan Kizer	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-2	1	0	0	0	0
Marshall Kearing	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Southern Miss

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cobie Montgomery	Guard	26	5-13	1-6	3-5	3	1	1	0	14
Victor Hart	Forward	35	6-14	0-2	1-3	12	0	0	1	13
Austin Crowley	Guard	35	3-11	1-4	4-6	5	2	1	1	11
Victor Iwuakor	Forward	26	2-7	0-0	4-6	6	0	0	4	8
Bryson Hall	Forward	13	2-4	0-0	4-4	4	0	1	0	8
Mo Arnold	Guard	29	3-8	0-2	1-4	3	3	2	0	7
Tegra Izay	C	5	1-1	0-0	1-1	1	0	0	0	3
Andre Curbelo	Guard	12	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	2	2	0	0
Jeffery Armstrong	Guard	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Jose Benitez	Guard	7	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Tate Ryder	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Trey Alfonso	Guard	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

77.9Possessions77.9

106.5Offensive Efficiency82.2

82.2Defensive Efficiency106.5

24.4Net Efficiency-24.4

60.4%Effective FG%36.5%

63.7%True Shooting %41.7%

20.8%Turnover Rate19.0%

75.0%Free Throw Rate46.0%

27.1%3-Point Rate22.2%

0.63Assist / Turnover0.60

Game Summary

South Alabama won by 19 points. The game played at approximately 77.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.