Texas State

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

38.3%Texas State

61.7%Georgia Southern

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGeorgia Southern -3.3

PROJECTED TOTAL155.2

MODEL MONEYLINEGeorgia Southern -161

Georgia Southern

21-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTexas State 76

Projected Total155.2

Projected ScoreGeorgia Southern 79

Team Comparison

Texas StateMetricGeorgia Southern

49.4MMH Power Index49.1

107.7Offensive Efficiency112.3

103.4Defensive Efficiency110.6

4.3Net Efficiency1.7

-4.7Strength of Schedule-2.2

9.1Last 10 Net Efficiency1.7

68.6Tempo72.0

51.3%Effective FG%52.1%

18.4%Turnover Rate14.5%

34.3%Offensive Rebound %28.6%

36.0%Free Throw Rate39.5%

2.9Average Margin1.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Texas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTexas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.4–49.1), defensive efficiency (103.4–110.6), net efficiency (4.3–1.7), recent form (9.1–1.7).

Georgia Southern COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (112.3–107.7), strength of schedule (-2.2–-4.7), shooting efficiency (52.1–51.3).

Final

Texas State

76—84

Georgia Southern

Georgia Southern by 8 • 73.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Texas StateTEAM STATGeorgia Southern

25-65FG29-55

38.0%FG%53.0%

5-213PT11-26

24.0%3PT%42.0%

21-27FT15-20

78.0%FT%75.0%

30Rebounds43

11Offensive Rebounds10

11Assists13

9Turnovers17

6Steals3

1Blocks3

17Fouls20

Player Box Score

Texas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dylan Dawson	Guard	17	4-11	3-8	4-4	0	0	1	0	15
Chris Nix	Forward	24	5-7	0-0	2-2	5	0	0	0	12
Dontae Horne	G	15	3-8	1-3	5-7	4	1	1	0	12
Coleton Benson	G	32	2-10	1-6	2-2	4	2	0	0	7
Christian Turner	Forward	26	3-5	0-0	1-1	2	2	1	0	7
Davion Sykes	G	18	3-6	0-0	1-2	2	0	1	0	7
Jordan Mason	G	35	2-11	0-4	2-2	2	6	2	0	6
Joshua O'Garro	G	16	2-4	0-0	1-3	6	0	0	1	5
Brandon Love	Forward	13	1-3	0-0	3-4	2	0	0	0	5
Elijah Tate	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Georgia Southern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyren Moore	G	34	6-17	2-8	7-7	5	5	0	0	21
Eren Banks	G	33	6-10	3-4	4-5	1	3	0	0	19
Jamar Franklin	G	27	6-9	4-7	0-2	4	0	0	0	16
Eugene Brown III	Forward	32	4-6	2-3	1-1	8	3	2	0	11
Collin Kuhl	F	18	2-3	0-0	2-3	7	1	0	1	6
Avantae Parker	F	21	2-2	0-0	1-2	10	1	1	1	5
Malik Tidwell	Guard	13	2-5	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Nate Brafford	F	10	1-3	0-2	0-0	3	0	0	1	2
Cam Bryant	Forward	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.7Possessions73.7

103.1Offensive Efficiency114.0

114.0Defensive Efficiency103.1

-10.9Net Efficiency10.9

42.3%Effective FG%62.7%

48.8%True Shooting %65.1%

11.9%Turnover Rate23.8%

41.5%Free Throw Rate36.4%

32.3%3-Point Rate47.3%

1.22Assist / Turnover0.76

Game Summary

Georgia Southern won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 73.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.