Grand Canyon

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

76.6%Grand Canyon

23.4%Tarleton State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGrand Canyon -6.0

PROJECTED TOTAL147.2

MODEL MONEYLINEGrand Canyon -327

Tarleton State

14-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGrand Canyon 77

Projected Total147.2

Projected ScoreTarleton State 71

Team Comparison

Grand CanyonMetricTarleton State

59.8MMH Power Index44.6

109.2Offensive Efficiency103.2

99.1Defensive Efficiency101.6

10.1Net Efficiency1.6

2.0Strength of Schedule-2.3

9.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.7

69.3Tempo72.2

52.1%Effective FG%49.0%

17.6%Turnover Rate19.9%

31.2%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

41.0%Free Throw Rate42.8%

7.0Average Margin1.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Grand Canyon HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMGrand Canyon holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.8–44.6), offensive efficiency (109.2–103.2), defensive efficiency (99.1–101.6), net efficiency (10.1–1.6).

Tarleton State COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (31.8–31.2), free throw rate (42.8–41.0).

Final

Grand Canyon

74—77

Tarleton State

Tarleton State by 3 • 70.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Grand CanyonTEAM STATTarleton State

27-63FG22-56

43.0%FG%39.0%

8-273PT4-19

30.0%3PT%21.0%

12-17FT29-40

71.0%FT%73.0%

39Rebounds37

14Offensive Rebounds14

10Assists7

14Turnovers8

6Steals8

3Blocks3

26Fouls18

Player Box Score

Grand Canyon

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyon Grant-Foster	G	38	10-17	3-7	2-3	13	4	2	0	25
Ray Harrison	Guard	27	2-7	1-2	7-9	3	2	0	0	12
Lok Wur	Forward	21	5-9	1-4	0-0	2	0	1	1	11
Duke Brennan	F	30	4-7	0-0	1-3	7	0	2	0	9
Gabe McGlothan	Forward	29	4-9	1-5	0-0	4	0	1	2	9
Collin Moore	Guard	32	1-9	1-5	2-2	4	2	0	0	5
Josh Baker	Guard	15	1-3	1-3	0-0	1	2	0	0	3
Jovan Blacksher Jr.	Guard	6	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Isaiah Shaw	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Tarleton State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jakorie Smith	Forward	38	7-16	3-8	7-9	7	1	1	0	24
Devon Barnes	G	29	5-13	0-2	12-13	3	1	2	0	22
KiAndre Gaddy	Forward	36	4-7	0-0	5-11	14	1	1	2	13
Lue Williams	Guard	38	3-9	0-3	4-4	2	0	1	0	10
Emmanuel Innocenti	G	40	3-8	1-6	1-2	5	4	3	0	8
Adam Moussa	Guard	12	0-2	0-0	0-1	2	0	0	0	0
Traivar Jackson	F	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Izzy Miles	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.1Possessions70.1

105.6Offensive Efficiency109.8

109.8Defensive Efficiency105.6

-4.3Net Efficiency4.3

49.2%Effective FG%42.9%

52.1%True Shooting %51.3%

19.7%Turnover Rate11.6%

27.0%Free Throw Rate71.4%

42.9%3-Point Rate33.9%

0.71Assist / Turnover0.88

Game Summary

Tarleton State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 70.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.