Eastern Illinois

13-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

9.7%Eastern Illinois

90.3%Tennessee State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTennessee State -15.1

PROJECTED TOTAL147.0

MODEL MONEYLINETennessee State -931

Tennessee State

23-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreEastern Illinois 66

Projected Total147.0

Projected ScoreTennessee State 81

Team Comparison

Eastern IllinoisMetricTennessee State

39.9MMH Power Index55.4

99.6Offensive Efficiency110.9

104.4Defensive Efficiency102.7

-4.8Net Efficiency8.2

-2.4Strength of Schedule-3.1

-4.7Last 10 Net Efficiency13.7

67.4Tempo72.4

47.5%Effective FG%50.9%

18.5%Turnover Rate17.0%

29.3%Offensive Rebound %34.8%

33.7%Free Throw Rate34.7%

-3.2Average Margin5.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Tennessee State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY90.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTennessee State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–39.9), offensive efficiency (110.9–99.6), defensive efficiency (102.7–104.4), net efficiency (8.2–-4.8).

Eastern Illinois COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.4–-3.1).

Final

Eastern Illinois

73—78

Tennessee State

Tennessee State by 5 • 68.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Eastern IllinoisTEAM STATTennessee State

23-58FG26-53

40.0%FG%49.0%

9-173PT6-20

53.0%3PT%30.0%

18-27FT20-26

67.0%FT%77.0%

35Rebounds33

15Offensive Rebounds9

8Assists13

12Turnovers12

8Steals6

3Blocks5

23Fouls20

Player Box Score

Eastern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kyndall Davis	G	35	6-13	0-2	4-7	5	1	0	2	16
Corey Sawyer Jr.	Guard	23	3-13	3-5	5-6	2	0	0	0	14
Nakyel Shelton	G	33	4-12	1-4	3-4	7	1	1	0	12
Tiger Booker	Guard	32	4-10	2-3	2-2	1	3	3	0	12
Dan Luers	Guard	18	3-6	3-3	0-0	3	0	1	1	9
Jermaine Hamlin	Forward	22	2-3	0-0	1-4	7	1	1	0	5
Rodolfo Bolis	Forward	13	0-0	0-0	3-4	3	1	0	0	3
Jaylin Gibson	Guard	11	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	0	2
Sincere Malone	F	13	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	0

Tennessee State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
EJ Bellinger	Guard	34	7-12	1-2	3-4	6	1	1	0	18
Jaylen Jones	G	29	6-11	3-7	1-2	0	5	0	0	16
Jason Jitoboh	Forward	23	3-7	0-0	6-6	6	0	0	4	12
Kinyon Hodges	Guard	37	3-5	0-2	3-3	7	2	3	1	9
Justin Williams	Guard	23	3-8	1-4	2-3	2	2	0	0	9
Marcus Fitzgerald Jr.	G	23	1-4	0-2	3-4	2	2	1	0	5
Emmanuel Dowuona	Forward	11	2-3	0-0	1-2	1	1	1	0	5
Michael Shanks	Forward	14	1-2	1-2	0-0	4	0	0	0	3
Riggs Abner	G	2	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Knute Wood	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Denim Dawson	Guard	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.1Possessions68.1

107.2Offensive Efficiency114.5

114.5Defensive Efficiency107.2

-7.3Net Efficiency7.3

47.4%Effective FG%54.7%

51.5%True Shooting %59.7%

17.7%Turnover Rate17.6%

46.6%Free Throw Rate49.1%

29.3%3-Point Rate37.7%

0.67Assist / Turnover1.08

Game Summary

Tennessee State won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 68.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, True Shooting %, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.