Michigan

36-3

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

91.1%Michigan

8.9%Northwestern

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan -15.4

PROJECTED TOTAL153.7

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan -1024

Northwestern

15-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMichigan 85

Projected Total153.7

Projected ScoreNorthwestern 69

Team Comparison

MichiganMetricNorthwestern

80.9MMH Power Index55.4

122.3Offensive Efficiency111.6

97.0Defensive Efficiency109.8

25.3Net Efficiency1.8

8.7Strength of Schedule5.6

17.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.7

71.8Tempo65.6

58.8%Effective FG%51.9%

16.4%Turnover Rate13.0%

34.6%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

38.9%Free Throw Rate34.8%

18.1Average Margin1.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (80.9–55.4), offensive efficiency (122.3–111.6), defensive efficiency (97.0–109.8), net efficiency (25.3–1.8).

Northwestern COUNTERS WITHball security (13.0–16.4).

Final

Michigan

62—76

Northwestern

Northwestern by 14 • 59.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MichiganTEAM STATNorthwestern

22-44FG30-64

50.0%FG%47.0%

8-113PT10-22

73.0%3PT%45.0%

10-18FT6-9

56.0%FT%67.0%

27Rebounds36

5Offensive Rebounds14

13Assists19

11Turnovers5

1Steals7

3Blocks3

13Fouls14

Player Box Score

Michigan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nimari Burnett	G	35	6-8	3-5	0-1	2	2	1	1	15
Tarris Reed Jr.	C	38	4-11	0-0	5-9	6	2	0	1	13
Terrance Williams II	F	36	4-9	2-2	3-4	7	2	0	0	13
Tray Jackson	Not Available	29	4-7	1-1	1-2	5	1	0	1	10
Jace Howard	G	16	2-2	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	5
Jaelin Llewellyn	Guard	28	1-3	0-0	1-2	1	4	0	0	3
Youssef Khayat	Forward	7	1-2	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
George Washington III	G	11	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	2	0	0	0

Northwestern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ryan Langborg	Guard	33	7-15	5-9	1-1	2	1	1	0	20
Brooks Barnhizer	Guard	37	8-16	3-5	0-2	12	3	3	2	19
Boo Buie	Guard	38	6-11	2-5	2-2	1	7	2	0	16
Nick Martinelli	F	32	4-11	0-3	0-0	9	2	0	0	8
Luke Hunger	F	18	3-5	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	0	8
Matthew Nicholson	Center	22	2-4	0-0	0-0	4	3	1	1	4
Blake Smith	G	14	0-0	0-0	1-2	1	1	0	0	1
Justin Mullins	G	6	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

59.0Possessions59.0

105.1Offensive Efficiency128.8

128.8Defensive Efficiency105.1

-23.7Net Efficiency23.7

59.1%Effective FG%54.7%

59.0%True Shooting %55.7%

18.8%Turnover Rate8.4%

40.9%Free Throw Rate14.1%

25.0%3-Point Rate34.4%

1.18Assist / Turnover3.80

Game Summary

Northwestern won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 59.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.