Portland State

20-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

29.2%Portland State

70.8%Montana State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMontana State -5.8

PROJECTED TOTAL149.7

MODEL MONEYLINEMontana State -242

Montana State

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePortland State 72

Projected Total149.7

Projected ScoreMontana State 78

Team Comparison

Portland StateMetricMontana State

50.2MMH Power Index53.6

109.3Offensive Efficiency114.4

100.2Defensive Efficiency104.9

9.1Net Efficiency9.5

-5.6Strength of Schedule-3.7

0.4Last 10 Net Efficiency4.9

70.1Tempo68.1

51.7%Effective FG%55.1%

16.6%Turnover Rate14.7%

31.6%Offensive Rebound %28.1%

36.8%Free Throw Rate30.7%

6.4Average Margin6.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Montana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMontana State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–50.2), offensive efficiency (114.4–109.3), net efficiency (9.5–9.1), strength of schedule (-3.7–-5.6).

Portland State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (100.2–104.9), offensive rebounding (31.6–28.1), free throw rate (36.8–30.7).

Final

Portland State

67—72

Montana State

Montana State by 5 • 73.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Portland StateTEAM STATMontana State

25-63FG27-59

40.0%FG%46.0%

6-243PT9-27

25.0%3PT%33.0%

11-18FT9-14

61.0%FT%64.0%

43Rebounds34

14Offensive Rebounds7

6Assists15

17Turnovers13

9Steals9

1Blocks4

16Fouls22

Player Box Score

Portland State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isiah Kirby	Guard	24	7-14	0-2	2-3	3	1	1	0	16
Bobby Harvey	Guard	29	4-11	4-9	0-0	4	0	2	0	12
Ismail Habib	G	30	4-11	1-6	1-3	4	3	1	0	10
KJ Allen	Forward	25	3-9	1-2	2-3	7	0	3	0	9
Isaiah Johnson	Forward	18	3-7	0-0	2-2	5	0	1	0	8
Cole Farrell	G	15	2-4	0-0	2-2	2	1	0	0	6
Hayden Curtiss	Center	10	1-3	0-2	1-2	3	0	0	1	3
Tre-Vaughn Minott	C	5	1-1	0-0	0-1	2	0	0	0	2
Kendall Munson	Forward	21	0-0	0-0	1-2	7	0	0	0	1
Jorell Saterfield	Guard	23	0-3	0-3	0-0	3	1	1	0	0

Montana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Eddie Turner III	Guard	34	9-15	5-8	4-6	1	2	2	0	27
Brandon Walker	F	24	7-16	0-1	0-1	9	2	1	0	14
Robert Ford III	Guard	36	3-8	2-6	1-3	7	5	4	0	9
Sam Lecholat	Forward	28	4-6	1-2	0-0	6	1	0	2	9
John Olmsted	Forward	8	2-3	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	1	4
Tyler Patterson	Guard	35	1-5	1-5	0-0	5	2	1	1	3
Brian Goracke	Forward	21	1-4	0-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Jed Miller	G	10	0-2	0-2	2-2	2	0	1	0	2
Chika Nduka	Forward	4	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

73.2Possessions73.2

91.5Offensive Efficiency98.4

98.4Defensive Efficiency91.5

-6.8Net Efficiency6.8

44.4%Effective FG%53.4%

46.8%True Shooting %54.8%

22.8%Turnover Rate18.1%

28.6%Free Throw Rate23.7%

38.1%3-Point Rate45.8%

0.35Assist / Turnover1.15

Game Summary

Montana State won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 73.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.