Oregon State

17-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

19.8%Oregon State

80.2%California

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCalifornia -10.9

PROJECTED TOTAL149.9

MODEL MONEYLINECalifornia -405

California

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOregon State 70

Projected Total149.9

Projected ScoreCalifornia 80

Team Comparison

Oregon StateMetricCalifornia

48.5MMH Power Index56.5

105.8Offensive Efficiency111.8

110.3Defensive Efficiency104.8

-4.5Net Efficiency7.0

4.5Strength of Schedule2.8

0.0Last 10 Net Efficiency1.8

67.2Tempo69.9

50.6%Effective FG%52.6%

17.7%Turnover Rate14.9%

26.4%Offensive Rebound %26.6%

43.9%Free Throw Rate36.8%

-3.0Average Margin4.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

California HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCalifornia holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (56.5–48.5), offensive efficiency (111.8–105.8), defensive efficiency (104.8–110.3), net efficiency (7.0–-4.5).

Oregon State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (4.5–2.8), free throw rate (43.9–36.8).

Final

Oregon State

73—81

California

California by 8 • 66.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Oregon StateTEAM STATCalifornia

27-62FG25-57

44.0%FG%44.0%

10-253PT16-33

40.0%3PT%48.0%

9-10FT15-20

90.0%FT%75.0%

34Rebounds33

9Offensive Rebounds8

10Assists17

9Turnovers7

2Steals5

5Blocks2

15Fouls11

Player Box Score

Oregon State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Pope	G	37	8-16	3-6	4-4	3	4	0	0	23
Tyler Bilodeau	F	30	8-16	2-6	0-0	10	1	0	0	18
Dexter Akanno	Guard	38	5-11	3-6	2-3	2	2	0	1	15
Michael Rataj	G	31	3-9	2-5	0-0	2	3	0	1	8
Chol Marial	Center	19	1-3	0-1	2-2	5	0	0	1	4
DaJohn Craig	G	6	1-3	0-0	1-1	0	0	0	0	3
KC Ibekwe	C	14	1-2	0-0	0-0	6	0	2	1	2
Jayden Stevens	Forward	21	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	1	0
Josiah Lake II	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

California

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Fardaws Aimaq	Forward	36	4-8	2-3	11-14	11	5	0	0	21
Jalen Cone	Guard	33	5-12	5-11	2-3	3	3	0	0	17
Jalen Celestine	G	32	5-8	3-6	2-2	2	1	2	0	15
Keonte Kennedy	Guard	31	4-6	3-4	0-0	4	0	3	0	11
Grant Newell	F	20	3-4	2-2	0-0	4	0	0	0	8
Jaylon Tyson	Forward	33	3-15	1-4	0-1	5	5	0	2	7
Rodney Brown	G	13	1-4	0-3	0-0	1	3	0	0	2
Gus Larson	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.2Possessions66.2

110.3Offensive Efficiency122.4

122.4Defensive Efficiency110.3

-12.1Net Efficiency12.1

51.6%Effective FG%57.9%

54.7%True Shooting %60.9%

13.5%Turnover Rate10.7%

16.1%Free Throw Rate35.1%

40.3%3-Point Rate57.9%

1.11Assist / Turnover2.43

Game Summary

California won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 66.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.