UC Davis

19-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

33.5%UC Davis

66.5%Cal State Northridge

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal State Northridge -4.9

PROJECTED TOTAL160.7

MODEL MONEYLINECal State Northridge -199

Cal State Northridge

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Davis 78

Projected Total160.7

Projected ScoreCal State Northridge 83

Team Comparison

UC DavisMetricCal State Northridge

48.4MMH Power Index50

107.2Offensive Efficiency107.3

103.7Defensive Efficiency105.2

3.5Net Efficiency2.1

-1.9Strength of Schedule-0.6

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency1.8

72.4Tempo75.9

52.3%Effective FG%51.0%

17.7%Turnover Rate17.3%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %32.9%

41.5%Free Throw Rate34.7%

2.5Average Margin1.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cal State Northridge HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCal State Northridge holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.0–48.4), offensive efficiency (107.3–107.2), strength of schedule (-0.6–-1.9), recent form (1.8–-0.1).

UC Davis COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (103.7–105.2), net efficiency (3.5–2.1), shooting efficiency (52.3–51.0).

Final

UC Davis

66—65

Cal State Northridge

UC Davis by 1 • 68.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC DavisTEAM STATCal State Northridge

24-57FG23-52

42.0%FG%44.0%

8-293PT3-10

28.0%3PT%30.0%

10-14FT16-29

71.0%FT%55.0%

30Rebounds38

10Offensive Rebounds12

14Assists16

14Turnovers15

12Steals7

4Blocks2

22Fouls16

Player Box Score

UC Davis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
TY Johnson	Guard	34	8-14	2-4	6-7	2	5	3	0	24
Leo DeBruhl	Guard	32	5-9	4-7	0-0	2	2	1	0	14
Kane Milling	Guard	31	4-12	2-8	1-2	6	2	1	0	11
Pablo Tamba	F	13	3-5	0-1	1-2	5	1	0	1	7
Niko Rocak	F	24	3-4	0-0	0-1	4	0	0	1	6
Elijah Pepper	Guard	36	1-10	0-7	2-2	3	3	7	1	4
Ade Adebayo	Forward	13	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Sione Lose	Guard	9	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	1	0
Francesco Borra	Forward	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Cal State Northridge

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dionte Bostick	Guard	40	10-16	1-2	2-4	5	1	2	0	23
De'Sean Allen-Eikens	Forward	33	7-13	1-1	6-6	3	4	1	0	21
Keonte Jones	G	39	2-7	0-1	4-9	6	2	3	2	8
Gianni Hunt	G	33	3-11	1-5	1-4	6	6	0	0	8
Mahmoud Fofana	F	31	0-0	0-0	2-4	10	1	1	0	2
Jared Barnett	Guard	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Bryan Ndjonga	F	14	0-2	0-1	1-2	1	2	0	0	1
Dearon Tucker	Center	3	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.3Possessions68.3

96.6Offensive Efficiency95.2

95.2Defensive Efficiency96.6

1.5Net Efficiency-1.5

49.1%Effective FG%47.1%

51.8%True Shooting %49.4%

20.7%Turnover Rate21.8%

24.6%Free Throw Rate55.8%

50.9%3-Point Rate19.2%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.07

Game Summary

UC Davis won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 68.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.